Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 8

Date: 22 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de Villahermosa (Villahermosa)

Referee: Molina Astorga M. (Mex)


	Pumas Tabasco		Celaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.2
	3.2	3.05	2.25
	3.23	3.23	2.35
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.13	3.13	2.3
	3	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.86)	3.12 ↑ (3)	2.23 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pumas Tabasco
29.1%

Draw
29.6%

Celaya
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

32.2%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pumas Tabasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pumas Tabasco than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	30%	40%

Pumas Tabasco - Celaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pumas Tabasco will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Celaya will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celaya: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pumas Tabasco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Celaya will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pumas Tabasco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Pumas Tabasco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pumas Tabasco
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
17.02.23	Tapatío - Pumas Tabasco	3:1 ✺
13.02.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Pumas Tabasco	3:3 ✺
08.02.23	Pumas Tabasco - Correcaminos UAT	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Dorados - Pumas Tabasco	1:2 ✺
27.01.23	Pumas Tabasco - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LTWWT
- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.02.23	Atlante - Celaya	1:0 ✺
08.02.23	Celaya - Dorados	4:2 ✺
03.02.23	Tapatío - Celaya	2:2 ✺
25.01.23	Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0 ✺
17.01.23	Celaya - Raya2 Expansión	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
08.07.22	Celaya - Pumas Tabasco	2:1
01.02.22	Pumas Tabasco - Celaya	0:1
01.09.21	Celaya - Pumas Tabasco	1:2
20.01.21	Celaya - Pumas Tabasco	2:1
16.09.20	Pumas Tabasco - Celaya	1:2

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