Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero (Mérida) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Negrete Preciado J. M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:00	Disney+
Brazil	20:00	Disney+
Chile	20:00	Disney+
Colombia	18:00	Disney+
Mexico	17:00	AYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN 4
Peru	18:00	Disney+
Uruguay	20:00	Disney+
Usa	19:00	Aym Sports
Venezuela	19:00	Disney+


	Venados		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.20	3.00
	2.08	3.55	3.15
	2.28	3.30	3.28
	2.16	3.27	3.39	Watch
	2.15	3.15	3.55
	2.19	3.29	3.24
	2.16	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.14)	3.29 ↓ (3.52)	3.25 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venados
43.1%

Draw
28.3%

Alacranes de Durango
28.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

27%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Alacranes de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Venados - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Perez S. (G) 32. Aguilar M. 21. Moreno Villegas J. A. 14. Montiel S. 31. Dominguez I. 10. Dominguez A. (C) 5. Naveda S. 11. Tejeda D. 8. Kilani P. 7. Reyes J. 29. Lora S.	1. Munoz J. (G) 21. Oteo D. 35. Flores S. (C) 4. Munoz J. 3. Gonzalez J. 5. Cantu E. 17. Reyes Olguin J. I. 30. Escoboza A. 7. Gutierrez L. 6. Vega Hernandez C. 27. Angulo J.
Substitutes
27. Benitez S. 33. Canto J. 23. Castellanos R. (G) 20. Cruz J. 16. Macias L. 22. Montelongo M. 13. Ochoa Brandon 34. Saucedo S. 6. Torres E. 30. Torres M.	16. Dominguez R. 2. Garcia A. 10. Gonzalez J. 14. Lorona L. 8. Montano T. 11. Morales L. 13. Ontiveros A. 33. Pelaez A. (G) 9. Ramirez J. S. 28. Torres J.
Coaches
Castro N.	Real H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Moreno Villegas J. A. 🟨,
23', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
29', Naveda S. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Munoz J. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Dominguez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', Gutierrez L. 🟨,
56', Angulo J. 🟨,
59', Gutierrez L. ↓, Dominguez R. ↑,
59', Angulo J. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
65', Vega Hernandez C. 🟨,
66', Moreno Villegas J. A. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
66', Aguilar M. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
70', Vega Hernandez C. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Lora S. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Munoz J. 🟨,
78', 1 - 2, Munoz J. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
79', Reyes Olguin J. I. ↓, Lorona L. ↑,
79', Escoboza A. ↓, Morales L. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Naveda S. ⚽, Dominguez I. (A),
84', Kilani P. ↓, Ochoa Brandon ↑,
90+2', Torres J. 🟨,
90+9', 3 - 2, Lora S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 7th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

Venados has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Alacranes de Durango is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Venados holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Venados has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Venados against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Venados ✔	14	7	3	4	31:25	6	24
7	Alacranes de Durango	14	6	3	5	18:14	4	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
17.10.26	Cancún - Venados	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Venados - Leones Negros UdeG	1:1 ✺
02.10.26	Atlético La Paz - Venados	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Venados - Atlético Morelia	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Venados	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTWWL
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
17.10.26	Alacranes de Durango - Tapatío	5:0 ✺
10.10.26	Jaiba Brava - Alacranes de Durango	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Alacranes de Durango - Mineros de Zacatecas	4:2 ✺
26.09.26	Dorados - Alacranes de Durango	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Alacranes de Durango - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.02.23	Venados - Alacranes de Durango	1:0
20.07.22	Alacranes de Durango - Venados	1:1

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