Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 8

Date: 22 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero (Mérida)

Referee: Chavez M. (Mex)


	Venados		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.3	3.5
	1.9	3.4	3.7
	1.93	3.62	4
	1.88	3.1	4
	1.9	3.44	3.88
	1.93	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.05)	3.39 ↑ (3)	3.76 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venados
48.4%

Draw
27.1%

Alacranes de Durango
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

30.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

29%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Alacranes de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Venados - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Users Predictions: Venados will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Alacranes de Durango could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Venados will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Venados won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
14.02.23	Venados - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:0 ✺
10.02.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Venados	2:1 ✺
01.02.23	Venados - Raya2 Expansión	0:1 ✺
26.01.23	Atlético Morelia - Venados	1:0 ✺
18.01.23	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.02.23	Alacranes de Durango - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:1 ✺
07.02.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Alacranes de Durango	1:0 ✺
31.01.23	Alacranes de Durango - Cancún	4:3 ✺
28.01.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alacranes de Durango	2:2 ✺
18.01.23	Alacranes de Durango - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
20.07.22	Alacranes de Durango - Venados	1:1

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