The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Herediano 70.2%
Draw 19.2%
Guadalupe 10.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.2%
18.7%
12.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74%
17.5%
11.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Herediano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Herediano - Guadalupe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Carvajal D. (G) 5. Quiros H. 99. Brown K. (C) 23. Rubio E. 55. Roman Y. 37. Fuller K. 24. Rodriguez S. 43. Sibaja G. 8. Cruz A. 22. Murillo A. 9. Hernandez M.
33. Delgado J. (G) 5. Quiros W. 31. Fajardo K. 2. Miranda R. 16. Ayala L. 35. Mendez G. 32. Taylor S. 11. Angulo M. (C) 14. Rojas H. 27. Amador A. 7. Ruiz J.
Substitutes
10. Aguilar E. 16. Araya D. 11. Araya R. 25. Bravo E. 1. Cruz A. (G) 97. Leal R. 77. Montenegro J. 38. Montes G. 17. Tejeda Y. 40. Vargas S.
21. Bonilla B. 9. Clunie G. 28. Gamez S. 99. Leal R. (G) 23. Lopez B. 79. Maleck J. 12. Mclean K. 10. Morales E. 30. Morejon J. 34. Morera G. M.
Coaches
Giacone J.
Wright M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Ruiz J. 🟥,
43', Ayala L. 🟥,
43', Delgado J. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Brown K. ↓, Araya R. ↑,
46', Sibaja G. ↓, Leal R. ↑,
46', Fuller K. ↓, Aguilar E. ↑,
46', Rojas H. ↓, Mclean K. ↑,
46', Amador A. ↓, Morales E. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Hernandez M. ⚽,
56', 2 - 0, Quiros H. ⚽,
57', Cruz A. ↓, Vargas S. ↑,
60', Mendez G. ↓, Bonilla B. ↑,
60', Angulo M. ↓, Gamez S. ↑,
73', Hernandez M. ↓, Montenegro J. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Murillo A. ⚽,
90', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Herediano won 2.
Herediano has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Guadalupe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Herediano is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Herediano won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 1.4:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Herediano won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1:0.6).