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Current Win Probability
Puntarenas FC 55.8%
Draw 26.5%
Guanacasteca 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.8%
23.1%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.8%
22.1%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puntarenas FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puntarenas FC's form might have worsened.
Guanacasteca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puntarenas FC than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puntarenas FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guanacasteca than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guanacasteca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Puntarenas FC - Guanacasteca Predictions
Users Predictions:
Puntarenas FC will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Moreira L. (G) 22. Castrillo D. 10. Cole R. 11. Hernandez A. 26. Mora A. 15. Munoz H. 19. Renteria W. 24. Ruiz J. 4. Sanchez J. 27. Sansores M. 30. Segura U.
1. Lajud G. (G) 10. Cordoba J. 26. Hernandez J. 16. Leveron J. 11. Mauricio G. 14. Mendez G. 5. Molina Y. (C) 8. Olivero J. 30. Porras J. A. 17. Rodriguez N. 24. Ugalde J.
Substitutes
33. Barrera Apu G. (G) 18. Cundumi A. 6. Gutierrez K. 8. Madrigal D. 7. Ramirez K. 20. Segura Murillo B. 14. Sinclair A.
21. Brown J. 25. Lopez A. 13. Mejia J. (G) 22. Mora J. 6. Morales J. 2. Morera P. 42. Saravia H.
Coaches
Alpizar C.
Garcia Quevedo J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Cordoba J. ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, Renteria W. ⚽,
11', Hernandez A. 🟨,
28', Mauricio G. ↓, Saravia H. ↑,
31', 1 - 2, Porras J. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Mora A. 🟨,
61', Hernandez A. ↓, Cundumi A. ↑,
61', Segura U. ↓, Segura Murillo B. ↑,
68', Rodriguez N. ↓, Mora J. ↑,
68', Hernandez J. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
74', Cole R. ↓, Ramirez K. ↑,
81', Ugalde J. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
81', Cordoba J. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
87', Olivero J. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Renteria W. (Pen),
90+1', Castrillo D. ↓, Madrigal D. ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Puntarenas won 1.
Puntarenas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Guanacasteca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Puntarenas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Puntarenas is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Puntarenas to win the game is with odds 1.65.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Puntarenas won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:26 (average 1.1:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Puntarenas won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1.1:1.6).
Costa-rica
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Moreira L. (G) 
Munoz H. 
Renteria W. 
Sanchez J. 
Leveron J. 
Rodriguez N. 
Garcia Quevedo J. 
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