Match Info

Date: 13 June 2021, Sunday


	Puszcza Niepołomice		GKS Bełchatów

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.23	3.3	2.85
	2.27	3.2	3
	2.35	3.51	3.09
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.33	3.3	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.28)	3.3 ↓ (3.37)	2.98 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
40.6%

Draw
28.2%

GKS Bełchatów
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

19.2%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puszcza Niepołomice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GKS Bełchatów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Bełchatów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Bełchatów is Relegated to Division 2

Puszcza has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bełchatów is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bełchatów could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
06.06.21	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:1 ✺
30.05.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:4 ✺
22.05.21	Stomil Olsztyn - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:1 ✺
19.05.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - Miedź Legnica	0:1 ✺
16.05.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - ŁKS Łódź	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 1
05.06.21	GKS Bełchatów - GKS Jastrzębie	0:2 ✺
29.05.21	Chrobry Głogów - GKS Bełchatów	0:1 ✺
21.05.21	GKS Bełchatów - Radomiak Radom	0:1 ✺
15.05.21	Korona Kielce - GKS Bełchatów	3:0 ✺
08.05.21	GKS Bełchatów - Arka Gdynia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
12.12.20	GKS Bełchatów - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:2
19.07.20	GKS Bełchatów - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0
03.11.19	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Bełchatów	1:4
Polish Division 2
20.05.17	GKS Bełchatów - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0
30.10.16	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Bełchatów	2:0
Club Friendly
01.03.14	GKS Bełchatów - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0
Polish Division 1
23.11.13	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Bełchatów	0:2

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