Match Info

Division 1 - Round 17

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice)

Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.46	3.5	2.72
	2.77	3.44	2.38	Watch
	3.29	3.24	2.19
	2.71	3.4	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.51)	3.36 ↑ (3.07)	2.34 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
32%

Draw
27.9%

Miedź Legnica
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

29.1%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29.4%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miedź: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miedź (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Miedź (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Miedź (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Perchel M. (G) 67. Barczak N. 10. Cholewiak M. 17. Iwao K. 11. Korczakowski O. 8. Mrozinski P. 88. Nascimento F. (C) 34. Piekarski A. 19. Stec J. 5. Stepien K. 16. Walski M.	44. Wrabel J. (G) 98. Antonik K. 18. Cordoba A. 25. Czyborra L. 3. Grudzinski M. (C) 15. Jovicic M. 27. Letniowski J. 8. Serafin J. 21. Stanclik D. 59. Stepinski P. 49. Szymoniak O.
Substitutes
18. Francois E. 13. Kanach R. 2. Kasolik K. 97. Kowal W. (G) 23. Przybylko K. 22. Simon C. 9. Smiglewski K. 27. Solowiej L. 7. Stepien M.	7. Bochnak M. 14. Drygas K. 2. Koscielny K. 11. Kuchko G. 99. Kwiecien B. 95. Mansfeld M. 10. Mioc B. 80. Petrovic Z. 1. Sydorenko D. (G)
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Niedzwiedz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Cordoba A. ⚽,
41', Stepinski P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Walski M. ↓, Simon C. ↑,
59', Barczak N. ↓, Smiglewski K. ↑,
59', Korczakowski O. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Stec J. ⚽,
70', Jovicic M. 🟨,
72', Grudzinski M. 🟨,
78', Stepinski P. ↓, Kwiecien B. ↑,
78', Antonik K. ↓, Mioc B. ↑,
83', Cholewiak M. ↓, Kasolik K. ↑,
85', Letniowski J. 🟨,
87', Stanclik D. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
87', Letniowski J. ↓, Petrovic Z. ↑,
90', Czyborra L. ↓, Drygas K. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Cordoba A. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 3, Mansfeld M. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Puszcza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Puszcza Niepołomice - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 35.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
08.11.25	ŁKS Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:3 ✺
05.11.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3 ET ✺
Polish Division 1
24.10.25	Znicz Pruszków - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:3 ✺
20.10.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wisła Kraków	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTLWL
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
07.11.25	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Miedź Legnica - Wieczysta Kraków	3:2 ✺
Polish Cup
30.10.25	Miedź Legnica - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
26.10.25	Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
06.03.22	Miedź Legnica - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1
20.08.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - Miedź Legnica	0:1
19.05.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - Miedź Legnica	0:1
16.10.20	Miedź Legnica - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1
01.07.20	Puszcza Niepołomice - Miedź Legnica	0:1
04.10.19	Miedź Legnica - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0
Polish Cup
14.03.19	Puszcza Niepołomice - Miedź Legnica	0:1

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