The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pétange 30.1%
Draw 25.1%
Mondorf-les-Bains 44.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
24.2%
45.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
23.8%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pétange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Mondorf-les-Bains has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pétange than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mondorf-les-Bains than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Pétange - Mondorf les Bains Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Barrela L. (C) 27. Ali D. 21. Arab S. 15. Ferreira G. 17. Goncalves R. 19. Gustavo 36. Kamavuaka W. 77. Lognard N. 4. Noode S. 6. Sabotic D. 5. Zodehougan Y.
1. Machado J. (G) 23. Baal L. 5. Benhemine A. 8. Bourigeaud A. 32. Deher M. 19. Godart Y. 27. Holter D. (C) 11. Issaka C. 6. Knoepffler A. 20. Mersch G. 72. Tinelli L.
Substitutes
. Frunze J. 11. Isaac A. 55. Kastrati A. 18. Komes M. (G) 24. Pereira Mendes P. . Ramirez C. 7. Schaus Y.
21. Agovic E. (G) 10. Cervellera Y. 9. Fournier L. 29. Kumbi J. 7. Lopes S. . Ouedraogo J. M. 18. Stoltz L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Tinelli L. ⚽, Issaka C. (A),
40', Arab S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Arab S. ↓, Kastrati A. ↑,
65', Tinelli L. ↓, Fournier L. ↑,
74', Ferreira G. ↓, Schaus Y. ↑,
75', Issaka C. ↓, Kumbi J. ↑,
75', Bourigeaud A. ↓, Cervellera Y. ↑,
82', Sabotic D. 🟨,
82', Cervellera Y. 🟨,
84', Holter D. 🟨,
85', Barrela L. 🟨,
85', Zodehougan Y. 🟨,
85', 0 - 2, Kumbi J. ⚽, Fournier L. (A),
90+1', Ali D. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 3, Fournier L. ⚽,
90+4', Mersch G. ↓, Ouedraogo J. M. ↑,
90+4', Holter D. ↓, Lopes S. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pétange won 1.
Pétange is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Mondorf has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Mondorf is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Pétange won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Pétange won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).
Watch
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Barrela L. (C) 
Ali D. 
Ferreira G. 
Gustavo 
Kamavuaka W. 
Lognard N. 
Noode S. 
Baal L. 
Frunze J. 
Isaac A. 
Kastrati A. 
Pereira Mendes P. 
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