Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Jos Becker (Hostert)


	Hostert		Mondorf-les-Bains

	1	X	2
	4.95	4.15	1.5
	5.01	4.35	1.51	Watch
	5.48	4.7	1.49
	5	4	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (4.86)	4.3 ↑ (4.23)	1.51 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hostert
17.9%

Draw
21.3%

Mondorf-les-Bains
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

21.4%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

20%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hostert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Mondorf-les-Bains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mondorf-les-Bains than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Hostert - Mondorf les Bains Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Gomes Y. (G) 67. Ahmeti D. 37. Ales B. 20. Baiverlin C. 11. Bekkouche S. 22. Bernardy L. (C) 31. Derbali R. 17. Fernandes D. 26. Leroux M. 19. Mendes E. 7. Rodrigues K.	1. Machado J. (G) 23. Baal L. 8. Bourigeaud A. 32. Deher M. 9. Fournier L. 19. Godart Y. 27. Holter D. (C) 6. Knoepffler A. 7. Lopes S. 70. Matias Y. 72. Tinelli L.
Substitutes
28. Almeida Borges B. 80. Altun S. 25. Caufriez A. 45. Cungs L. 10. Meddour H. 97. Quinol K. 99. Seligson F. (G)	21. Agovic E. (G) 5. Benhemine A. 10. Cervellera Y. 11. Issaka C. 29. Kumbi J. 18. Stoltz L. 31. Ubaldini A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Fernandes D. 🟨,
21', Derbali R. 🟨,
37', Bekkouche S. 🟨,
43', Holter D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, Ahmeti D. ⚽, Bernardy L. (A),
66', Baal L. ↓, Kumbi J. ↑,
67', Fournier L. ↓, Stoltz L. ↑,
74', Rodrigues K. ↓, Caufriez A. ↑,
74', Tinelli L. ↓, Ubaldini A. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Issaka C. ⚽,
82', Lopes S. ↓, Cervellera Y. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Fernandes D. ⚽,
88', Fernandes D. ↓, Altun S. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+2', Deher M. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hostert won 1.

Hostert is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mondorf has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Mondorf is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hostert won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hostert won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
26.10.25	Atert Bissen - Hostert	7:1 ✺
19.10.25	Hostert - F91 Dudelange	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Käerjéng 97 - Hostert	2:2 ✺
01.10.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Hostert	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Hostert - Jeunesse Esch	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTLL
- US Mondorf-les-Bains
Luxembourg National Division
26.10.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - F91 Dudelange	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Jeunesse Esch - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Differdange 03	1:3 ✺
01.10.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Rodange	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Jeunesse Canach - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
19.04.25	Hostert - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:1
27.10.24	Mondorf-les-Bains - Hostert	3:1
Luxembourg Cup
24.04.24	Hostert - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2
Luxembourg National Division
21.05.23	Hostert - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:5
07.08.22	Mondorf-les-Bains - Hostert	2:0
03.04.22	Hostert - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:1
Club Friendly
11.11.21	Mondorf-les-Bains - Hostert	1:3

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