Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 13

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Alphonse Theis (Hesperange)


	Swift Hesperange		Mondorf-les-Bains

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.5	1.78
	4.13	3.64	1.8
	3.92	3.7	1.78	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.81
	3.8	3.4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.51)	3.55 ↑ (3.48)	1.78 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swift Hesperange
23.3%

Draw
25.7%

Mondorf-les-Bains
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.4%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

25.4%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swift Hesperange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Mondorf-les-Bains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swift Hesperange than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mondorf-les-Bains than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Swift Hesperange - Mondorf les Bains Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Dupire G. (G) 8. Belliard H. 3. El Foukhari I. 5. Erkus E. 24. Herbin G. 28. Kaloga M. 9. Lespinasse L. 21. Nsombi G. 26. Prempeh J. 15. Savane H. 36. Skenderovic K.	1. Machado J. (G) 23. Baal L. 5. Benhemine A. 8. Bourigeaud A. 32. Deher M. 9. Fournier L. 19. Godart Y. 27. Holter D. 6. Knoepffler A. 70. Matias Y. 18. Stoltz L.
Substitutes
89. Bochu N. 22. Drame S. 42. Kiambu C. (G) 80. Lizardo D. 11. Morabet M. 12. Neves E. 78. Tshiabuiye G.	10. Cervellera Y. 11. Issaka C. 29. Kumbi J. 7. Lopes S. 20. Mersch G. 13. Rodrigues D. (G) 72. Tinelli L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Fournier L. ⚽,
28', Benhemine A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Benhemine A. ↓, Tinelli L. ↑,
52', Matias Y. ↓, Mersch G. ↑,
56', Knoepffler A. 🟨,
58', Fournier L. 🟨,
64', Stoltz L. ↓, Issaka C. ↑,
64', Fournier L. ↓, Kumbi J. ↑,
65', Erkus E. 🟨,
72', Belliard H. ↓, Bochu N. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Issaka C. ⚽,
79', Erkus E. ↓, Drame S. ↑,
79', Nsombi G. ↓, Morabet M. ↑,
85', Bourigeaud A. ↓, Cervellera Y. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Morabet M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swift Hesperange won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mondorf will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Swift Hesperange won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Swift Hesperange won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg National Division
30.11.25	Hostert - Swift Hesperange	1:1 ✺
26.11.25	Swift Hesperange - Racing Luxembourg	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	F91 Dudelange - Swift Hesperange	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Swift Hesperange - Jeunesse Esch	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Differdange 03 - Swift Hesperange	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- US Mondorf-les-Bains
Luxembourg National Division
30.11.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Victoria Rosport	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Hostert - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - F91 Dudelange	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Jeunesse Esch - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Differdange 03	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
11.05.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Swift Hesperange	4:0
01.12.24	Swift Hesperange - Mondorf-les-Bains	Mondorf awarded
14.04.24	Swift Hesperange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2
22.10.23	Mondorf-les-Bains - Swift Hesperange	0:2
02.04.23	Mondorf-les-Bains - Swift Hesperange	0:4
16.10.22	Swift Hesperange - Mondorf-les-Bains	4:2
Club Friendly
11.10.21	Swift Hesperange - Mondorf-les-Bains	3:2

Swift Hesperange - Mondorf-les-Bains: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide