Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 23 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

Referee: Glova F. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Qarabağ Agdam		FCSB

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.5
	2.2	3.4	3.3
	2.2	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.19	3.43	3.57
	2.16	3.39	3.41	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.3
	2.26	3.34	3.67
	2.22	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.3)	3.4 ↑ (3.26)	3.44 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
43.8%

Draw
28.3%

FCSB
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.4%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.5%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.7%	34.3%	20%

Qarabağ Agdam - FCSB Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 15 - 45.5%). FCSB will win (votes: 7 - 21.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 28.5% – 62.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Buntic F. (G) 2. Matheus Silva 13. Mustafazada B. 81. Medina K. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 6. Romao J. 8. Jankovic M. 21. Kashchuk O. 15. Leandro Andrade 10. Zoubir A. (C) 90. Akhundzade N.	32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 2. Cretu V. 30. Ngezana S. 5. Dawa J. 33. Radunovic R. 42. Alhassan B. 8. Sut A. (C) 11. Miculescu D. 7. Tanase F. 15. Stefanescu M. 9. Birligea D.
Substitutes
11. Addai E. 66. Andrade P. 27. Bayramov T. 7. Benzia Y. 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. 24. Isayev A. 99. Kochalski M. (G) 12. Mammadzada S. (G) 22. Qurbanly M. 20. Richard Almeyda 29. Vesovic M.	25. Baluta A. 18. Edjouma M. 29. Musi A. 28. Pantea A. 19. Popa D. 17. Popescu M. 22. Toma M. 1. Udrea M. (G)
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.	Charalambous E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Leandro Andrade ⚽, Akhundzade N. (A),
4', Alhassan B. 🟨,
7', 1 - 1, Sut A. ⚽, Tanase F. (A),
39', Romao J. 🟨,
41', 2 - 1, Dawa J. (Own goal), Cafarquliyev E. (A),
45+4', 2 - 2, Miculescu D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alhassan B. ↓, Edjouma M. ↑,
46', Stefanescu M. ↓, Baluta A. ↑,
62', Miculescu D. ↓, Musi A. ↑,
70', Romao J. ↓, Andrade P. ↑,
70', Mustafazada B. ↓, Vesovic M. ↑,
73', 2 - 3, Sut A. ⚽,
79', Ngezana S. 🟨,
79', Tanase F. ↓, Popescu M. ↑,
81', Akhundzade N. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
81', Leandro Andrade ↓, Addai E. ↑,
81', Kashchuk O. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
89', Andrade P. 🟨,
90', Birligea D. ↓, Popa D. ↑,
90+2', Cretu V. 🟨,
90+2', Matheus Silva 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.

Qarabağ is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches FCSB is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Qarabağ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Qarabağ will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Qarabağ: Ramazanov A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in FCSB: Lixandru M. (Injury) Olaru D. (Injury)

There are questionable in FCSB: Popescu O. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
17.01.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	3:2 ✺
22.12.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan	2:0 ✺
19.12.24	Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
16.12.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Elfsborg - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWWL
- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
17.01.25	FCSB - Hermannstadt	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.01.25	Dynamo Kyiv - FCSB	2:1 ✺
10.01.25	FCSB - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
23.12.24	Politehnica Iași - FCSB	0:2 ✺
Romanian Cup
18.12.24	FCSB - Universitatea Craiova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.07.15	FCSB - Qarabağ Agdam	3:2

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