Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

Referee: Hamzazade R. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Qarabağ Agdam		Shamakhi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.40	6.00
	1.42	4.00	5.50	Watch
	1.41	4.70	6.87
	1.43	4.51	6.01	Watch
	1.38	4.35	6.20
	1.38	4.30	6.93
	1.39	4.50	6.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.56)	4.39 ↑ (4.21)	6.27 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
64.9%

Draw
20.7%

Shamakhi
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

21.7%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qarabağ Agdam's performance.

Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shamakhi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kochalski M. (G) 29. Cephas R. 20. Kady Borges (C) 5. Langa B. 88. Lobato S. 25. Makreckis C. 2. Matheus Silva 9. Montiel J. 7. Mouaddib J. 22. Qurbanly M. 4. Varkonyi B.	1. Ricardo Fernandes (C) 10. Adilkhanov E. 13. Apolinario R. 11. Bouali A. 3. Jota 97. Mammadov O. 25. Marques F. 52. Moumini A. 4. Pereira Pacheco R. F. 5. Rustamov E. 19. Shuaibu A.
Substitutes
49. Bashirov A. 32. Cabrayilzada H. 18. Dani Bolt 55. Huseynov B. 8. Jankovic M. 21. Kashchuk O. 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 13. Mustafazada B. 35. Pedro Bicalho 23. Zlomislic M. (G)	9. Akhvlediani T. 66. Bagyrzada C. 14. Cahangirov U. 8. Dego D. 80. Ismayilov H. 17. Muradly S. 96. Qarazoglu N. (G) 62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 88. Shiraliyev H. 7. Suleymanov E. 77. Tahmazli O. 2. Xeyrullayev F.
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.	Bagirov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Marques F. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Cephas R. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Adilkhanov E. ⚽,
45+3', Ricardo Fernandes 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bouali A. ↓, Cahangirov U. ↑,
46', Mammadov O. ↓, Ismayilov H. ↑,
55', Montiel J. ↓, Jankovic M. ↑,
55', Lobato S. ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
58', Shuaibu A. ↓, Akhvlediani T. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Apolinario R. (Own goal),
60', Mouaddib J. ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
64', Marques F. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,
72', Pereira Pacheco R. F. 🟨,
74', Matheus Silva ↓, Mustafazada B. ↑,
74', Varkonyi B. ↓, Huseynov B. ↑,
79', Moumini A. 🟨,
82', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Tahmazli O. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Kashchuk O. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 2.

Qarabağ has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Qarabağ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Qarabağ is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 45:8. (average 2.3:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Qarabağ won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:4. (average 2.8:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Qarabag	5	4	1	0	9:4	5	13
6	Shamakhi	6	2	3	1	8:6	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.07.26	CSKA Sofia - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 penalties ✺
23.07.26	Qarabağ Agdam - CSKA Sofia	0:0 ✺
16.07.26	Vestri - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTW
- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.05.26	Gabala - Shamakhi	3:1 ✺
16.05.26	Shamakhi - Turan Tovuz	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Neftchi Baku - Shamakhi	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Shamakhi - Sabah	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Shamakhi - Kapaz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
11.04.26	Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam	0:0
Azerbaijan Cup
04.03.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	3:1
Azerbaijan Premier League
10.02.26	Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2
Azerbaijan Cup
05.02.26	Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1
Azerbaijan Premier League
26.10.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	0:0
24.05.25	Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1
17.01.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	3:2

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