Match Info

Date: 14 May 2021, Friday


	Qashqai Shiraz		Fajr Sepasi

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.9	2.1
	3.7	2.75	1.98
	3.35	2.65	2.21
	3.34	2.72	2.25
	3.5	3	2.1
	3.65	2.64	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.75)	2.78 ↓ (2.88)	2.16 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qashqai Shiraz
25.7%

Draw
32.5%

Fajr Sepasi
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

31.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

23%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qashqai Shiraz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qashqai Shiraz's form might have worsened.

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fajr Sepasi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qashqai Shiraz than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fajr Sepasi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Qashqai Shiraz - Fajr Sepasi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Fajr Sepasi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Qashqai won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Qashqai won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qashqai Shiraz
Iran Division 1
08.05.21	Kheybar Khorramabad - Qashqai Shiraz	5:1 ✺
27.04.21	Qashqai Shiraz - Shahin Bushehr	1:0 ✺
21.04.21	Rayka Babol - Qashqai Shiraz	1:1 ✺
13.04.21	Qashqai Shiraz - Havadar	0:0 ✺
07.04.21	Arman Gohar - Qashqai Shiraz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTTT
- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Division 1
08.05.21	Fajr Sepasi - Baadraan Tehran	1:2 ✺
24.04.21	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Fajr Sepasi	2:1 ✺
19.04.21	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Kerman	0:1 ✺
13.04.21	Navad Urmia - Fajr Sepasi	0:1 ✺
07.04.21	Fajr Sepasi - Shahrdari Astara	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
28.12.20	Fajr Sepasi - Qashqai Shiraz	2:2
02.02.20	Fajr Sepasi - Qashqai Shiraz	0:0
15.09.19	Qashqai Shiraz - Fajr Sepasi	0:2
12.02.19	Qashqai Shiraz - Fajr Sepasi	0:2
30.09.18	Fajr Sepasi - Qashqai Shiraz	0:1

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