Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Qingdao Hainiu		Dalian Pro

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	2.2	Watch
	2.87	3.4	2.15
	2.95	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.4	1.83
	3.08	3.61	2.2
	3	3.5	2.1
	3.13	3.64	2.14
	3.1	3.6	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.25)	3.56 ↓ (3.62)	2.11 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Hainiu
30.4%

Draw
25.9%

Dalian Pro
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

26%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

25.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Hainiu's form might have worsened.

Dalian Pro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dalian Pro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Pro than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dalian Pro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Qingdao Hainiu - Dalian Pro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Dalian Pro will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dalian Pro: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Mou Pengfei (G) 2. Zhang Wei 31. Andrejevic A. 4. Liu Junshuai 24. Xu Dong 25. Wang G. 20. Peng Xinli 12. Chen Chunxin 7. Saric E. 10. Kangwa E. 9. Brown F.	30. Wu Yan (G) 11. Mamba S. 6. Wang Xianjun 4. Nunez V. 14. Huang Jiahui 8. Zhu Ting (C) 19. Wang Zhenao 40. Bosancic N. 31. Lu Peng 10. Tsonev B. 17. Manzoki C.
Substitutes
14. Feng Jing 17. Fu Yuncheng 18. Hu Ming 21. Jiang Ning 29. Liu Chaoyang 33. Liu Jiashen 6. Liu Weicheng 22. Liu Zhenli (G) 8. Ma Xingyu 45. Saric M. 5. Sha Yibo 27. Zheng Long	22. Chen Rong 28. Fei Yu 7. Lin Liangming 2. Lin Longchang 23. Shang Yin 9. Shan Huanhuan 13. Wang Yaopeng 35. Wang Yu 5. Wu Wei 39. Yan Xiangchuang 1. Zhang Chong (G) 15. Zhao Jianbo
Coaches
Gomez A.	Xie Hui

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Qingdao Hainiu won 0.

Recent matches Qingdao Hainiu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dalian Pro has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Qingdao Hainiu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dalian Pro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Qingdao Hainiu won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Qingdao Hainiu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League
22.10.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:4 ✺
30.09.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Nantong Zhiyun	3:1 ✺
15.09.23	Shandong Taishan - Qingdao Hainiu	4:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
31.08.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao Hainiu	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLW
- Dalian Pro
Chinese Super League
20.10.23	Dalian Pro - Wuhan Three Towns	1:3 ✺
30.09.23	Beijing Guoan - Dalian Pro	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
26.09.23	Dalian Pro - Shandong Taishan	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
23.09.23	Dalian Pro - Shandong Taishan	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Dalian Pro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
02.07.23	Dalian Pro - Qingdao Hainiu	1:1
03.01.22	Dalian Pro - Qingdao Hainiu	4:1
21.12.21	Qingdao Hainiu - Dalian Pro	1:2
Chinese Jia League
22.07.17	Qingdao Hainiu - Dalian Pro	1:1
09.04.17	Dalian Pro - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1
22.10.16	Dalian Pro - Qingdao Hainiu	1:3
26.06.16	Qingdao Hainiu - Dalian Pro	5:2

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