Match Info

Jia League - Round 3

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao Red Lions		Dalian Kun City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.55
	2.9	3	2.39	Watch
	2.94	3.17	2.45	Watch
	2.62	2.88	2.62
	2.81	2.98	2.65	Watch
	2.9	3	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.33)	2.99 ↓ (3.04)	2.51 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
32.9%

Draw
30.6%

Dalian Kun City
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

30.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Red Lions's form might have worsened.

Dalian Kun City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dalian Kun City's recent form is better than expected.

Qingdao Red Lions - Dalian Kun City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Li Ya'nan (G) 33. Shi Zhe 5. Liu Pujin 11. Sun Xipeng 16. Zhang Yixuan 8. Jia Xiaochen 20. Nie Aoshuang (C) 7. Nobrega J. 10. Leandro Alves 9. Rivaldinho 24. Song Runtong	16. Wang Zhuo (C) 39. Lei Wenjie 8. Wu Y. 5. Lin Longchang 2. Wei Lai 32. Song Chen 24. Musa S. I. 23. Yin Lu 41. Deng Chunze 30. Mushekwi N. 44. Kotnik A.
Substitutes
31. Cao Xiaoyi 37. Chen Hao-Wei 22. Iskandar B. 29. Liu Xiaoqi 36. Lu K. 40. Pi Ziyang 43. Sheng Muze (G) 35. Zhang Shuai 4. Zhao Chengle 6. Zheng Haokun 30. Zhou Jianyi 1. Zhu Quan (G)	17. Chen Jiaqi 20. Chen Rong 28. Cui Hao 26. Cui Ming'an 15. Ji Zhengyu 18. Lu Pin 1. Ma Kunyue (G) 9. Ning F. 11. Qian Junhao 6. Song Zhiwei 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 12. Zhao Shuhao
Coaches
Ma Yongkang	Cespedes O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Deng Chunze 🟨,
37', Liu Pujin 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Li Ya'nan ↓, Zhu Quan ↑,
46', Song Runtong ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
56', Song Chen 🟨,
61', Leandro Alves ↓, Chen Hao-Wei ↑,
66', Lei Wenjie ↓, Chen Rong ↑,
66', Deng Chunze ↓, Qian Junhao ↑,
79', Wei Lai ↓, Zhai Zhaoyu ↑,
82', Liu Pujin 🟨,
86', Nobrega J. ↓, Cao Xiaoyi ↑,
87', Song Chen ↓, Chen Jiaqi ↑,
90', Qian Junhao 🟨,
90+2', Jia Xiaochen ↓, Zhao Chengle ↑,

Preview

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
29.03.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Yanbian Longding	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Yanbian Longding - Qingdao Red Lions	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTLWT
- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Jia League
30.03.25	Dalian Kun City - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Nanjing City - Dalian Kun City	1:2 ✺
Chinese Yi League
20.10.24	Shanghai Port B - Dalian Kun City	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Dalian Kun City - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Dalian Kun City - Shenzhen Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW

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