The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yanbian Longding 56.5%
Draw 26.2%
Qingdao Red Lions 17.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.3%
22.6%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
21.2%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yanbian Longding's form might have worsened.
Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yanbian Longding, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Users Predictions:
Yanbian Longding will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kou Jiahao (G) 3. Wang Peng (C) 15. Xu Jizu 28. Nunez V. 7. Li Shibin 6. Li Qiang 5. Domingos J. 14. Li Long 20. Jin Taiyan 10. Brown F. 30. Huang Zhenfei
1. Zhu Quan (G) 2. Song Bowei 16. Zhang Yixuan 4. Zhao Chengle 23. Zhang Liang 30. Zhou Jianyi 7. Nobrega J. 20. Nie Aoshuang (C) 10. Leandro Alves 11. Sun Xipeng 9. Rivaldinho
Substitutes
4. Che Zeping 19. Dong Jialin (G) 8. Han Guangmin 18. Khedrup Lobsang 32. Li Da 22. Li Jinyu 1. Li Shengmin (G) 23. Li Ximin 31. Qian Changjie 38. Wang Zihao 16. Xu Wenguang 26. Zheng Zhiyu
27. Cao Kaidi 22. Iskandar B. 8. Jia Xiaochen 5. Liu Pujin 29. Liu Xiaoqi 18. Li Ya'nan (G) 36. Lu K. 40. Pi Ziyang 24. Song Runtong 13. Tao Yuan 21. Zeng Yi (G) 6. Zheng Haokun
Coaches
Lee Ki-Hyung
Ma Yongkang
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Huang Zhenfei ⚽, Domingos J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zhou Jianyi ↓, Jia Xiaochen ↑,
55', Li Qiang ↓, Qian Changjie ↑,
56', Jin Taiyan ↓, Wang Zihao ↑,
58', Song Bowei ↓, Lu K. ↑,
60', Qian Changjie 🟨,
67', Li Shibin ↓, Xu Wenguang ↑,
80', Zhao Chengle ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
87', Lu K. 🟨,
88', Brown F. ↓, Li Ximin ↑,
88', Zhang Yixuan ↓, Liu Xiaoqi ↑,
90+5', Huang Zhenfei ↓, Li Jinyu ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yanbian Longding won 2.
Yanbian Longding is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Qingdao Red Lions is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Yanbian Longding is considered a favorite.
We predict that Yanbian Longding will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Yanbian Longding won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Yanbian Longding won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
China
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Kou Jiahao (G) 
Nunez V. 
Domingos J. 
Brown F. 
Leandro Alves 
Lee Ki-Hyung 
