Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 27 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center (Qingdao)


	Qingdao West Coast		Ningbo Professional

	1	X	2
	1.25	5	10
	1.26	4.66	10.23
	1.3	4.4	8.5
	1.23	5.4	13
	1.24	5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.45)	4.89 ↑ (4.21)	10.55 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao West Coast
72.7%

Draw
18.7%

Ningbo Professional
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

22.1%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

21%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qingdao West Coast's performance.

Ningbo Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qingdao West Coast that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ningbo Professional than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ningbo Professional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Qingdao West Coast - Ningbo Professional Predictions

Users Predictions: Qingdao West Coast will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Chen Zhao (G) 15. Abduklim Merdanjan 7. Tian Yong 5. Liu Pujin 8. Zhao Mingyu 22. Osmanjan Abduhelil 17. Chen Po-Liang 14. Feng Gang 19. Guo Yi 24. Tanque W. d. S. 10. Ramirez J.	1. Lin Xiang (G) 22. Zhang J. 38. Tu Dongxu 35. Yang G. 32. Du Changjie 9. Sun Yue 14. Liu Shuai 11. Li Xin 4. Bao Shengxin 29. Jefferson 40. Xie Zhiwei
Substitutes
20. Chen Ao 1. Dong Hang (G) 42. Gao Yunan 30. Gui Zihan 26. He Xiaoqiang 2. Huang Jiaqiang 39. Lei Wenjie 25. Li Kai 11. Raniel 9. Shi Jian 43. Xie Longfei 3. Xue Mengtao	45. Abdushukur E. 13. Akande A. 10. Etti E. 37. Hazohen Y. 20. Qi Xinlei 2. Wang Shouting 34. Wang Xiaofeng (G) 6. Wu Haitian 21. Wu Y. 23. Wu Yufan 7. Xi Sunbin
Coaches
Jankovic Z.	Yang Lin

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 14).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Qingdao West Coast is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Qingdao West Coast won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Qingdao West Coast won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Jia League
19.08.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
13.08.23	Qingdao West Coast - Wuxi Wugou	3:1 ✺
06.08.23	Qingdao West Coast - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Qingdao West Coast - Jiangxi Lushan	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
26.07.23	Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWWL
- Ningbo Professional
Chinese Jia League
19.08.23	Ningbo Professional - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Ningbo Professional - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
05.08.23	Ningbo Professional - Wuxi Wugou	2:1 ✺
30.07.23	Ningbo Professional - Dandong Tengyue	1:0 ✺
22.07.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Ningbo Professional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
13.05.23	Ningbo Professional - Qingdao West Coast	0:1
27.09.22	Ningbo Professional - Qingdao West Coast	3:2
12.09.22	Qingdao West Coast - Ningbo Professional	3:1
Chinese Yi League
22.07.21	Qingdao West Coast - Ningbo Professional	2:2
10.06.21	Ningbo Professional - Qingdao West Coast	1:0

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