Match Info

Super League - Round 30

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi (Navoiy)

Referee: Tashmuhammedova N. (Uzb)


	Qizilqum		Shurtan Guzar

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.45	4.35
	1.72	3.45	4.75
	1.65	3.64	4.86	Watch
	1.72	3.52	4.94
	1.68	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.65)	3.49 ↓ (3.64)	4.68 ↓ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Qizilqum
54.2%

Draw
26.2%

Shurtan Guzar
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.3%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

22.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qizilqum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Shurtan Guzar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qizilqum than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Qizilqum - Shurtan Guzar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kuvvatov S. (G) 20. Bozorov B. 16. Gafurov A. 11. Jigauri J. 77. Jumankuziev F. 9. Kenzhaboev I. 70. Norkhonov S. 79. Rakhmatilloev D. 8. Rakhmatullaev S. 23. Shukurillaev S. 4. Vakhobov I.	1. Eshbutaev S. (G) 70. Jumaev M. 76. Kenzhaboev I. 11. Khakimov J. 9. Kholdorkhonov P. 4. Khudoyberdiev U. 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 22. Sadulloev S. 7. Suvonov B. 14. Toshkuziev A. 8. Turdialiev A.
Substitutes
7. Anvarov D. 18. Bekmuradov F. 19. Kenzhaev I. 15. Kumburovic N. 88. Mijic D. 17. Muzaffarov A. 10. Paparyga R. 30. Rakhmatov F. (G) 22. Turopov S.	35. Abduraimov S. (G) 88. Asomiddinov D. 21. Ibrakhimov M. 79. Jurabaev M. 19. Khasanov N. 45. Kodirov G. 15. Mannonov J. 24. Narzullaev D. 99. Saidov S.
Coaches
Rustamov A.	Alikulov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Jumankuziev F. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Kenzhaboev I. ⚽,
43', Jumaev M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Kenzhaboev I. ↓, Ibrakhimov M. ↑,
46', Khakimov J. ↓, Kodirov G. ↑,
46', Suvonov B. ↓, Asomiddinov D. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Asomiddinov D. ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, Rakhmatullaev S. ⚽, Jigauri J. (A),
67', Jumankuziev F. ↓, Mijic D. ↑,
67', Shukurillaev S. ↓, Kumburovic N. ↑,
74', Rakhmatullaev S. ↓, Anvarov D. ↑,
74', Rakhmatilloev D. ↓, Kenzhaev I. ↑,
83', Toshkuziev A. ↓, Jurabaev M. ↑,
84', Kenzhaboev I. 🟨,
84', Kenzhaboev I. ↓, Paparyga R. ↑,
86', Sadulloev S. ↓, Mannonov J. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Pirmukhamedov A. ⚽, Asomiddinov D. (A),
90+3', 2 - 3, Kodirov G. ⚽,
90+4', Asomiddinov D. 🟨,
90+4', Kodirov G. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 3, Norkhonov S. ⚽, Jigauri J. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).

Shurtan is Relegated to Pro Liga

Recent performances by Qizilqum have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shurtan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Qizilqum may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Qizilqum is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qizilqum PFK
Uzbek League
22.11.25	Neftchi Fargona - Qizilqum	4:1 ✺
09.11.25	Qizilqum - Andijan	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Qizilqum	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	Qizilqum - Dinamo Samarqand	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Pakhtakor - Qizilqum	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLWL
- Shurtan Guzar
Uzbek League
19.11.25	Shurtan Guzar - Buxoro	1:1 ✺
10.11.25	Surkhon Termez - Shurtan Guzar	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Shurtan Guzar - AGMK	4:3 ✺
25.10.25	Shurtan Guzar - Neftchi Fargona	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Andijan - Shurtan Guzar	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
03.07.25	Shurtan Guzar - Qizilqum	1:2
Uzbek Cup
18.08.21	Shurtan Guzar - Qizilqum	1:2

Qizilqum - Shurtan Guzar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide