The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shurtan Guzar 11%
Draw 20.8%
Neftchi Fargona 68.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.7%
20.2%
69.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10.3%
19.4%
72%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shurtan Guzar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Shurtan Guzar - Neftchi Fargona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Eshbutaev S. (G) 14. Toshkuziev A. 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 3. Sultonmurodov S. 4. Khudoyberdiev U. 8. Turdialiev A. 15. Mannonov J. 10. Mamasidikov T. 21. Ibrakhimov M. 76. Kenzhaboev I. 9. Kholdorkhonov P.
1. Ergashev B. (G) 5. Alibaev I. 21. Ubaydullaev M. 20. Gofurov A. 4. Ciger B. 23. Djokic J. 7. Ismoilov A. 22. Odilov A. 10. Iskanderov J. 11. Ruziev K. 9. Kojo J.
Substitutes
35. Abduraimov S. (G) 88. Asomiddinov D. 70. Jumaev M. 11. Khakimov J. 19. Khasanov N. 45. Kodirov G. 17. Mukhtorov F. 22. Sadulloev S. 99. Saidov S.
24. Gulyamov G. 8. Jovovic V. 32. Marusic Z. 70. Nimely S. 34. Sayfiev F. 77. Toshmirzaev B. 45. Turaev A. (G) 33. Yoqubjonov S. 6. Yuldoshev I.
Coaches
Alikulov A.
Levchenko V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Kojo J. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
40', 0 - 1, Marusic Z. ⚽,
45+1', Odilov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Ibrakhimov M. ↓, Kodirov G. ↑,
69', Odilov A. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
69', Ruziev K. 🟨,
77', Mannonov J. ↓, Sadulloev S. ↑,
77', Mamasidikov T. ↓, Khakimov J. ↑,
78', Ruziev K. ↓, Yuldoshev I. ↑,
84', Turdialiev A. ↓, Khasanov N. ↑,
84', Toshkuziev A. ↓, Asomiddinov D. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Jovovic V. ⚽, Iskanderov J. (A),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shurtan won 1.
Shurtan has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Neftchi Fargona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Neftchi Fargona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the clear favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Shurtan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Shurtan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).