The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shurtan Guzar 19.6%
Draw 24.4%
AGMK 56%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.5%
22.7%
59.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21%
18.9%
49.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shurtan Guzar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
AGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AGMK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shurtan Guzar - AGMK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Eshbutaev S. (G) 22. Sadulloev S. 4. Khudoyberdiev U. 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 14. Toshkuziev A. 19. Khasanov N. 8. Turdialiev A. 24. Narzullaev D. (C) 76. Kenzhaboev I. 88. Asomiddinov D. 9. Kholdorkhonov P.
35. Ilyosov J. (G) 7. Akhmadaliev D. 6. Ulmasaliev A. 18. Yuldashev I. 21. Akhrorov S. 5. Papava G. (C) 28. Sentoku A. 15. Rustamov O. 77. Abdurazzakov N. 8. Kholmurodov A. 10. Giyosov K.
Substitutes
35. Abduraimov S. (G) 18. Asadov O. 21. Ibrakhimov M. 11. Khakimov J. 10. Mamasidikov T. 33. Rahmatov B. 99. Saidov S. 3. Sultonmurodov S. 7. Suvonov B.
88. Abdunabiev K. (G) 27. Abdurakhmonov A. 13. Begimov E. 17. Mirzaev S. 19. Mukimzhonov A. 30. Sarimsakov A. 16. Senaga N. 99. Sobirzhonov A. 3. Toirov S.
Coaches
Alikulov A.
Kasymov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Khasanov N. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Giyosov K. ⚽, Kholmurodov A. (A),
45', Kholmurodov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', Khasanov N. ↓, Rahmatov B. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Kholdorkhonov P. ⚽, Narzullaev D. (A),
57', 2 - 1, Kholdorkhonov P. (Pen),
66', Sentoku A. ↓, Sobirzhonov A. ↑,
66', Papava G. ↓, Abdurakhmonov A. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Turdialiev A. ⚽,
80', Kholmurodov A. ↓, Senaga N. ↑,
80', Akhrorov S. ↓, Mukimzhonov A. ↑,
84', 3 - 2, Abdurakhmonov A. ⚽,
85', Asomiddinov D. ↓, Suvonov B. ↑,
90', Kenzhaboev I. ↓, Sultonmurodov S. ↑,
90+1', Ilyosov J. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 3, Senaga N. ⚽,
90+6', Kholdorkhonov P. ↓, Khakimov J. ↑,
90+9', 4 - 3, Khakimov J. ⚽,
90+11', Khakimov J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga and 6).
Shurtan has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
AGMK's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, AGMK is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shurtan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Shurtan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Watch
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Eshbutaev S. (G) 
Papava G. (C) 
Sentoku A. 
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