Match Info

Super League - Round 28

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Surkhon (Termez)

Referee: Rahmonov D. (Uzb)


	Surkhon Termez		Shurtan Guzar

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.15	6.1
	1.4	4.52	8.02
	1.45	3.96	6.62	Watch
	1.4	4.3	7.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)	4.23 ↑ (3.96)	7.04 ↑ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Surkhon Termez
65.1%

Draw
21.8%

Shurtan Guzar
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

23.1%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

21.7%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Surkhon Termez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Surkhon Termez - Shurtan Guzar Predictions

Users Predictions: Surkhon Termez will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Surkhon Termez will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Yuldoshev D. (G) 99. Poyonov S. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 4. Nematkhonov N. 22. Juraev J. 77. Karimov A. 6. Shamsiev B. (C) 18. Abdikholikov N. 2. Karimov B. 10. Turdimurodov R. 19. Abdurakhmonov M.	1. Eshbutaev S. (G) 14. Toshkuziev A. 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 4. Khudoyberdiev U. 22. Sadulloev S. (C) 33. Rahmatov B. 8. Turdialiev A. 88. Asomiddinov D. 76. Kenzhaboev I. 24. Narzullaev D. 9. Kholdorkhonov P.
Substitutes
14. Abdukhamidov S. 27. Jumaev A. 24. Komilov S. 20. Makhmudov S. 86. Merganov D. (G) 15. Ramazonov D. 66. Shaydulov B. 26. Shukurullaev B. 7. Tursunov D.	35. Abduraimov S. (G) 18. Asadov O. 21. Ibrakhimov M. 70. Jumaev M. 11. Khakimov J. 19. Khasanov N. 17. Mukhtorov F. 3. Sultonmurodov S. 7. Suvonov B.
Coaches
Davletov F.	Alikulov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Karimov B. 🟨,
62', Karimov A. ↓, Jumaev A. ↑,
62', Abdurakhmonov M. ↓, Abdukhamidov S. ↑,
63', Abdikholikov N. 🟨,
70', Rahmatov B. 🟨,
75', Kholdorkhonov P. ↓, Khakimov J. ↑,
75', Narzullaev D. ↓, Suvonov B. ↑,
80', Kenzhaboev I. ↓, Ibrakhimov M. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Abdukhamidov S. ⚽, Turdimurodov R. (A),
84', Abdikholikov N. ↓, Ramazonov D. ↑,
89', Rahmatov B. ↓, Mukhtorov F. ↑,
90', Juraev J. ↓, Tursunov D. ↑,
90+3', Yuldoshev D. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Surkhon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Surkhon is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Surkhon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Surkhon Termez
Uzbek League
02.11.25	Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Surkhon Termez - Andijan	4:0 ✺
17.10.25	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Surkhon Termez	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Surkhon Termez - Dinamo Samarqand	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Shurtan Guzar
Uzbek League
31.10.25	Shurtan Guzar - AGMK	4:3 ✺
25.10.25	Shurtan Guzar - Neftchi Fargona	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Andijan - Shurtan Guzar	4:3 ✺
05.10.25	Shurtan Guzar - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Shurtan Guzar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
22.06.25	Shurtan Guzar - Surkhon Termez	2:1

Surkhon Termez - Shurtan Guzar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide