Match Info

Super League - Round 10

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi (Navoiy)

Referee: Khudoyberganov A. (Uzb)


	Qizilqum		Xorazm Urganch

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.88	4.35
	1.93	3.05	4.94
	1.98	2.85	4.33	Watch
	1.91	2.75	4.2
	1.95	2.98	4.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.31)	2.9 ↓ (2.99)	4.43 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qizilqum
47.6%

Draw
31.7%

Xorazm Urganch
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30.8%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

31.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qizilqum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qizilqum's performance.

Xorazm Urganch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xorazm Urganch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qizilqum than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qizilqum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xorazm Urganch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Qizilqum - Xorazm Urganch Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Qizilqum will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Xorazm will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rakhmatov F. (G) 15. Kumburovic N. 23. Shukurillaev S. 44. Rizakulov G. 21. Ibrakhimov M. 7. Jumankuziev F. 31. Jigauri J. 8. Rakhmatullaev S. 79. Rahmatilloyev D. 70. Norkhonov S. 17. Muzaffarov A.	33. Stosic N. (G) 15. Pirmukhamedov A. 88. Khusinov A. 2. Ortiqbayev D. 25. Rom M. 22. Khamidzhonov S. 96. Rafael Sabino 79. Akhrorov A. 17. Nugumanov D. 10. Lhery Y. 20. Ezhov D.
Substitutes
20. Bozorov B. 10. Kenzhaboev I. 19. Kenzhaev I. 99. Sayyotov K. (G) 11. Shchebetun O. 14. Shukurov A. 9. Turopov S. 6. Usmonov M. 4. Vakhobov I.	8. Abdikholikov N. 9. Azimov J. 70. Ismoilov S. 7. Ismoilov T. 13. Mukhammadjonov M. (G) 6. Otakhonov A. 14. Rahimberganov A. 77. Saidkhonov A. . Sultanmuradov S.
Coaches
Rustamov A.	Tokov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Rom M. 🟨,
39', Akhrorov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Khusinov A. ↓, Otakhonov A. ↑,
46', Akhrorov A. ↓, Ismoilov T. ↑,
46', Ibrakhimov M. ↓, Turopov S. ↑,
59', Norkhonov S. ↓, Shchebetun O. ↑,
65', Lhery Y. 🟥,
68', Pirmukhamedov A. 🟨,
70', Muzaffarov A. ↓, Kenzhaboev I. ↑,
71', Nugumanov D. ↓, Ismoilov S. ↑,
75', Rafael Sabino 🟨,
78', Kenzhaboev I. 🟨,
80', Pirmukhamedov A. ↓, Azimov J. ↑,
81', Jumankuziev F. ↓, Kenzhaev I. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Qizilqum won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Qizilqum	22	9	2	11	23:30	-7	29
14	Xorazm Urganch	23	5	7	11	20:34	-14	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qizilqum PFK
Uzbek League
24.04.26	Qizilqum - Kokand 1912	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Surkhon Termez - Qizilqum	0:1 ✺
13.04.26	Qizilqum - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:3 ✺
09.04.26	Buxoro - Qizilqum	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLL
- Xorazm Urganch
Uzbek League
24.04.26	Xorazm Urganch - Neftchi Fargona	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Mashal Mubarek - Xorazm Urganch	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Xorazm Urganch - Kokand 1912	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Xorazm Urganch	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Xorazm Urganch - Dinamo Samarqand	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
18.08.25	Xorazm Urganch - Qizilqum	0:1
06.06.25	Qizilqum - Xorazm Urganch	0:3

Qizilqum - Xorazm Urganch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide