Match Info

Super League - Round 9

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Xorazm Stadium (Urgench)

Referee: Jorayev G. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uzbekistan	MTRK Sport


	Xorazm Urganch		Neftchi Fargona

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.5	1.55
	5.83	3.5	1.69
	6.3	3.59	1.54	Watch
	5	3.3	1.57
	4.9	3.61	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.51 ↓ (6.77)	3.5 ↓ (3.93)	1.6 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Xorazm Urganch
16.6%

Draw
26.2%

Neftchi Fargona
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

23.5%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

22.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xorazm Urganch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neftchi Fargona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neftchi Fargona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Xorazm Urganch - Neftchi Fargona Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Xorazm will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Neftchi Fargona will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mukhammadjonov M. (G) 22. Khamidzhonov S. 25. Rom M. 5. Otakhonov A. (C) 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 15. Ortikboev D. 13. Lohan 8. Abdikholikov N. 97. Traore B. 10. Lhery Y. 94. Abdukhamidov R.	1. Ergashev B. (G) 34. Sayfiev F. 15. Abduganiyev N. 21. Ubaydullaev M. (C) 6. Yuldoshev I. 23. Djokic J. 77. Ratinho 10. Iskanderov J. 22. Odilov A. 11. Jumaev A. 18. Perica S.
Substitutes
79. Akhrorov A. 9. Azimov J. 20. Ezhov D. 7. Ismoilov T. 88. Khusinov A. 17. Nugumanov D. 96. Rafael Sabino 33. Stosic N. (G) 6. Sultanmuradov S.	5. Alibaev I. 30. Fomin R. 14. Giyosov K. 20. Gofurov A. 7. Ismoilov A. 8. Jovovic V. 32. Marusic Z. 2. Pulatov I. 45. Turaev A. (G)
Coaches
Tokov S.	Ismoilov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Traore B. ↓, Akhrorov A. ↑,
14', 0 - 1, Perica S. ⚽,
24', Sayfiev F. 🟨,
44', Abdukhamidov R. ↓, Ismoilov T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lohan ↓, Rafael Sabino ↑,
59', Jumaev A. ↓, Ismoilov A. ↑,
59', Perica S. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Ismoilov A. ⚽,
71', Odilov A. ↓, Giyosov K. ↑,
71', Yuldoshev I. ↓, Pulatov I. ↑,
80', Abdikholikov N. ↓, Nugumanov D. ↑,
80', Iskanderov J. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
87', Pulatov I. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

In recent matches, Xorazm has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Neftchi Fargona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Xorazm won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Xorazm won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftchi Fargona	23	16	4	3	52:19	33	52
14	Xorazm Urganch	23	5	7	11	20:34	-14	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xorazm Urganch
Uzbek League
18.04.26	Mashal Mubarek - Xorazm Urganch	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Xorazm Urganch - Kokand 1912	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Xorazm Urganch	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Xorazm Urganch - Dinamo Samarqand	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Xorazm Urganch - Bunyodkor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTTWL
- Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League
18.04.26	Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Bunyodkor - Neftchi Fargona	0:1 ✺
09.04.26	Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona	0:4 ✺
20.03.26	Neftchi Fargona - Lokomotiv Tashkent	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
30.11.25	Xorazm Urganch - Neftchi Fargona	2:0
07.07.25	Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch	2:0

Upcoming Matches