Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 22

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Quilmes		Colegiales

	1	X	2
	1.86	2.82	5.25
	1.88	2.80	4.80
	1.92	2.78	4.75	Watch
	1.96	2.95	5.31
	1.88	2.94	5.2	Watch
	1.89	2.9	5.15
	1.89	2.86	5.23	Watch
	1.92	2.75	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.73)	2.85 ↓ (3.21)	5.05 ↓ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
48.9%

Draw
32.6%

Colegiales
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

29.1%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

28.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quilmes's form might have worsened.

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Quilmes - Colegiales Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Glellel E. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Romeo L. 6. Kippes A. 3. Luna S. 8. Colazo N. 5. Bolivar A. 10. Batista A. 11. Vera U. 7. Coronel J. 9. Spetale A.	1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 4. Malagueno F. 2. Rivero F. 6. Ortiz L. 3. Hanashiro F. 8. Zicarelli F. 5. Marin F. 10. Castillo L. 7. Gonzalez L. 9. Monserrat R. E. 11. Trinidad E.
Substitutes
19. Bonacci P. 17. Fernandez M. 20. Lavezzi A. 12. Marinelli G. (G) 16. Martinez R. 14. Ortega T. 18. Vazquez G. 15. Yangali J.	13. Aguirre E. 19. Albertengo M. 12. Alcorcel A. (G) 17. Juarez L. 18. Mamani M. 15. Montiel F. 16. Ocampo E. 14. Ramirez M. 20. Toloza N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Spetale A. 🟨,
45+1', Kippes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Coronel J. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
46', Colazo N. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
46', Vera U. ↓, Bonacci P. ↑,
65', Monserrat R. E. ↓, Albertengo M. ↑,
65', Spetale A. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,
65', Gonzalez L. ↓, Ocampo E. ↑,
68', Bonacci P. 🟨,
72', Bolivar A. 🟨,
79', Batista A. ↓, Lavezzi A. ↑,
81', Fernandez M. 🟨,
84', Castillo L. ↓, Juarez L. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Ortiz L. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 14)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Quilmes is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.07.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Quilmes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Colegiales - Quilmes	3:1 ✺
13.06.26	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLWT
- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.07.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Colegiales - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Colegiales - Quilmes	3:1 ✺
13.06.26	Colegiales - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.06.26	Colegiales - Quilmes	3:1
25.07.25	Colegiales - Quilmes	1:0
26.03.25	Quilmes - Colegiales	1:0

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