Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Real Madrid C		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.4	3.05	2.72
	2.55	2.98	2.79	Watch
	2.45	2.88	2.8
	2.51	2.85	2.77
	2.57	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.51)	2.96 ↓ (3.07)	2.78 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid C
36.8%

Draw
30.6%

Orihuela
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Real Madrid C - Orihuela Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Ortega J. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Solsona J. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Solsona J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 🟥,
90', 1 - 3, Pipa ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Real Madrid C has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Orihuela has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Madrid C won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Real Madrid C	5	0	3	2	1:4	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.01.26	Getafe B - Real Madrid C	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Real Madrid C - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Real Madrid C - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Alcalá - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Real Madrid C - Socuéllamos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLT
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.01.26	Intercity - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Orihuela - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Getafe B - Orihuela	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Orihuela - Las Palmas B	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Conquense - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.10.25	Orihuela - Real Madrid C	1:2

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