Match Info

Cearense - Round 4

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	TVC Deportes


	Ferroviário Fortaleza		Horizonte

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.23	4.6	Watch
	1.83	2.9	4.2
	1.76	3.06	4.9
	1.84	3.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.76)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	4.61 ↓ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário Fortaleza
50.7%

Draw
29.5%

Horizonte
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.9%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Horizonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferroviário (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Sivaldo Junior (G) 2. Ramires 4. Iago Reis 3. Leo Paraiso (C) 6. Pedrinho 16. Mena Y. 15. Joao Neto 8. Lucas Black 11. Felipe Sales 9. Jefinho 10. Thalisson	1. Frank (G) 2. Daelson 3. Tiago Bettim 4. Rafael Augusto (C) 25. Max 5. Ramos 7. Betinho 10. Paulinho Cearense 8. Lauro 11. Alex 9. Willian Anicete
Substitutes
18. Camilo 19. Gomes N. 23. Jeffao 17. Kiuan 26. Luiz Meneses 13. Pablo Maldini 21. Paulo Ricardo 20. Thiago Pulga 33. Victor Brasil (G)	20. Alan Calbergue 16. Athyrson 6. Caio 15. Guilherme 21. Henrique 17. Italo Dude 12. Jean (G) 13. Lalim 18. Palominha 14. Pedro Cavalini 19. Pentecoste 23. Ray Sape

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Lucas Black ⚽, Jefinho (A),
14', Felipe Sales 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Max ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Alex ↓, Pentecoste ↑,
46', Paulinho Cearense ↓, Alan Calbergue ↑,
56', Lucas Black 🟨,
61', Daelson 🟨,
62', Felipe Sales ↓, Kiuan ↑,
66', Ramires 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Thalisson ⚽, Kiuan (A),
75', Max 🟨,
77', Willian Anicete ↓, Henrique ↑,
77', Lauro ↓, Guilherme ↑,
80', Joao Neto 🟨,
80', 2 - 2, Guilherme ⚽, Alan Calbergue (A),
83', Max ↓, Caio ↑,
85', Joao Neto ↓, Paulo Ricardo ↑,
85', Jefinho ↓, Camilo ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 2.

Horizonte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferroviário is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviário won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
11.01.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Fares Lopes
27.11.25	Tirol - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Fortaleza B - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Atlético Cearense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWLLW
- Horizonte FC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
13.01.26	Maracanã - Horizonte	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Horizonte - Quixadá	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
27.07.25	América RN - Horizonte	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Horizonte - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Horizonte - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
13.07.25	Horizonte - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0
04.05.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
19.01.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte	1:2
19.01.20	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte	2:0
10.03.19	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte	1:1
23.01.19	Horizonte - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1
13.01.18	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte	4:0

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide