Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 23

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Quorn		Worcester City

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.1
	2.02	3.46	3.15
	2.03	3.8	3.19	Watch
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.08	3.74	3.12
	2.05	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.86)	3.52 ↓ (3.91)	3.15 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quorn
45%

Draw
26%

Worcester City
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

23.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

22.7%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Worcester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quorn than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quorn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (-4%)

Quorn - Worcester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Sweeney D. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Goodson Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 1 - 2, Burns H. ⚽,
59', 2 - 2, O'Boyle F. ⚽,
71', 2 - 3, Lutz C. ⚽,
83', 2 - 4, Miles F. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Quorn has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Worcester is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Worcester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Quorn could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quorn
English Southern League Central Division
09.12.25	Quorn - Redditch United	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Needham Market - Quorn	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Quorn - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Quorn	1:5 ✺
22.11.25	Real Bedford - Quorn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWT
- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
13.12.25	Spalding United - Worcester City	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	St Ives Town - Worcester City	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Worcester City - Royston Town	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Alvechurch - Worcester City	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Worcester City - Harborough Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWLL

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