Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 22

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Spalding United		Worcester City

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.35
	1.6	4.17	4.86	Watch
	1.54	3.8	5.28
	1.55	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	3.99 ↓ (4.2)	4.81 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spalding United
58%

Draw
22.9%

Worcester City
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

21.6%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

20.1%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spalding United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Worcester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Spalding United - Worcester City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spalding (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Spalding United will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Ceesay Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
74', 1 - 1, Sweeney D. (Penalty Awarded),
83', 2 - 1, Roberts J. ⚽,
85', Wise C. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Stanley C. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 9).

Spalding has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Worcester's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Spalding has had a series of home games.

In this match, Spalding is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Spalding will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
06.12.25	Spalding United - Leiston	4:1 ✺
29.11.25	Redditch United - Spalding United	0:7 ✺
25.11.25	Spalding United - Bury Town	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Spalding United - Needham Market	3:0 ✺
18.11.25	Spalding United - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
06.12.25	St Ives Town - Worcester City	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Worcester City - Royston Town	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Alvechurch - Worcester City	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Worcester City - Harborough Town	1:2 ✺
18.11.25	Worcester City - Stourbridge	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW

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