Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 4

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday


	Ríver PI		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.4	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.34	3.1	2.69
	2.51	2.91	3.03
	2.37	3.04	2.9	Watch
	2.29	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.19)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	2.86 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ríver PI
38.2%

Draw
29.9%

Itabaiana
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.1%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

30%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ríver PI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ríver PI than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Ríver PI - Itabaiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joanderson (G) 10. Caique Valdivia 20. Crislan 5. Darlan 8. Escuro 11. Felipe Para 6. Izaldo 4. Leandro Amaro (C) 3. Lucas Mingoti 7. Rodrigo Fumaca 2. Vivico	12. Montanhas (G) 14. Douglas Dias 5. Duda 3. Gabriel Caran 22. Kauan 7. Leo Carvalho 10. Marcelinho 11. Matheus (C) 4. Rony Fernandes 19. Schutz 8. Vitao
Substitutes
14. Coelho N. M. 22. Daivison 17. Doda 12. Heitor (G) 16. Iago Felipe 15. Josue 9. Ju 21. Kakim 24. Pereira C. F. M. P. (G) 19. Ribeiro de Oliveira D. 18. Ronald Bele 13. Vinicius	16. Canutama Edinho 23. Elivelton 17. Jupi 15. Matheus Prado 24. Melo V. 13. Pedro Silva 6. Thiago Papel 18. Tiago Souza

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 7 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ríver PI
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	Ríver PI - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
17.02.24	Ríver PI - 4 de Julho	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.24	Fortaleza - Ríver PI	3:1 ✺
10.02.24	Ríver PI - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
07.02.24	Ríver PI - Altos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTLWL
- AO de Itabaiana
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	Itabaiana - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
18.02.24	Itabaiana - Falcon	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.24	Itabaiana - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	América RN - Itabaiana	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
07.02.24	Itabaiana - América de Propriá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWLWW

Ríver PI - Itabaiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide