Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Rödinghausen		Velbert

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.8	3.25
	1.69	4.18	4.65
	1.66	4.23	4.04
	1.83	3.75	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)	3.99 ↑ (3.76)	3.85 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rödinghausen
52.5%

Draw
23.3%

Velbert
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

24.3%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

19.6%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rödinghausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Velbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rödinghausen than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rödinghausen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+5%)

Rödinghausen - Velbert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Corsten T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Golubytskij A. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Rödinghausen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Velbert is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Velbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rödinghausen is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rödinghausen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rödinghausen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Rodinghausen	11	2	3	6	15:20	-5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Rödinghausen
German Regionalliga West
27.03.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rödinghausen	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Fortuna Köln - Rödinghausen	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Rödinghausen - Wuppertal	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Rödinghausen - Bonner	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Rödinghausen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTTWL
- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
21.03.26	Bocholt - Velbert	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Velbert - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Bonner - Velbert	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Velbert - Bochum II	2:3 ✺
27.02.26	Velbert - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
03.10.25	Velbert - Rödinghausen	2:3
12.04.24	Velbert - Rödinghausen	0:0
21.10.23	Rödinghausen - Velbert	4:1
30.04.16	Velbert - Rödinghausen	0:0
08.08.15	Rödinghausen - Velbert	4:1

Rödinghausen - Velbert: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide