Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 5

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade du Tivoli (La Louvière)

Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Paraguay	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Uruguay	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN


	RAAL La Louvière		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.25	1.33	Watch
	8	4.75	1.4
	8.5	4.8	1.35	Watch
	9.47	5.19	1.35
	6.5	4.33	1.44
	8.45	5.14	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.07 ↑ (6.64)	4.91 ↑ (4.65)	1.37 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RAAL La Louvière
11.7%

Draw
19.3%

Saint-Gilloise
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.2%

20.2%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

19.6%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RAAL La Louvière has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

RAAL La Louvière - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Union SG (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Saint-Gilloise will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Peano M. (C) 11. Liongola J. 4. Faye W. 13. Maisonneuve M. 25. Lamego D. 5. Lutonda T. 98. Maes O. 15. Lahssaini S. 10. Pau M. 29. Mendy O. 9. Fall P. M.	37. Scherpen K. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. (C) 48. Leysen F. 25. Khalaili A. 24. Vanhoutte C. 8. Zorgane A. 21. Castro-Montes A. 10. Ait El Hadj A. 30. Florucz R. 13. Rodriguez K.
Substitutes
22. Afriyie J. 6. Beka Beka A. 19. Benavides D. 1. De Schrevel C. (G) 12. Epailly T. 3. Gillot N. 8. Gueulette S. 99. Okou Y. 26. Riou M.	3. Barry M. T. 23. Boufal S. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 12. David P. 20. Giger M. 31. Makate Bokoya C. 22. Niang O. 4. Rasmussen M. 26. Sykes R.
Coaches
Taquin F.	Pocognoli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Liongola J. 🟨,
29', Maes O. 🟨,
33', Rodriguez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mendy O. ↓, Afriyie J. ↑,
46', Castro-Montes A. ↓, Niang O. ↑,
46', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
63', Florucz R. ↓, David P. ↑,
71', Niang O. 🟨,
74', Maes O. ↓, Gueulette S. ↑,
83', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
87', Lutonda T. ↓, Okou Y. ↑,
90+6', David P. ↓, Giger M. ↑,
90+6', Pau M. ↓, Riou M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

La Louvière is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Union SG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

La Louvière may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Union SG is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in La Louvière: Gueulette S. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, La Louvière won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, La Louvière won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.08.25	Sint-Truidense - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	RAAL La Louvière - Charleroi	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Gent - RAAL La Louvière	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	RAAL La Louvière - Standard Liège	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.25	KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLL
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.08.25	Saint-Gilloise - Standard Liège	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Gent - Saint-Gilloise	2:3 ✺
03.08.25	Saint-Gilloise - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5:0 ✺
25.07.25	Royal Antwerp - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Belgian Super Cup
20.07.25	Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.19	RAAL La Louvière - Saint-Gilloise	1:2

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