Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen)

Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza


	KV Mechelen		RAAL La Louvière

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.8	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.4
	1.88	3.65	3.9
	2.13	3.61	3.56
	2.28	3.23	3.17	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.4
	1.86	3.81	4.03
	1.54	4.35	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.54)	3.68 ↓ (4.35)	4.01 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
49.9%

Draw
26.1%

RAAL La Louvière
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

21.9%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

21.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KV Mechelen's form might have worsened.

RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RAAL La Louvière's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KV Mechelen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RAAL La Louvière, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - La Louvière (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Mechelen (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: KV Mechelen will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): KV Mechelen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 6 - 85.7%). La Louvière (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Wolf O. (G) 2. Halhal R. 8. Konate M. 4. Diouf G. 7. Koudou T. 16. Schoofs R. (C) 6. Hammar F. 23. Zekri M. 11. Bafdili B. 14. Raman B. 19. Mrabti K.	21. Peano M. (C) 11. Liongola J. 4. Faye W. 13. Maisonneuve M. 25. Lamego D. 5. Lutonda T. 10. Pau M. 15. Lahssaini S. 98. Maes O. 22. Afriyie J. 9. Guindo M.
Substitutes
38. Antonio B. 22. Golic L. 20. Lauberbach L. 13. Miras N. (G) 77. Pflucke P. 18. Struyf I. 5. Teague R. 15. Van Ingelgom T. (G)	19. Benavides D. 1. De Schrevel C. (G) 12. Epailly T. 8. Gueulette S. 23. Ito J. 29. Mendy O. 99. Okou Y. 26. Riou M. 51. Sidibe S.
Coaches
Vanderbiest F.	Taquin F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Schoofs R. ⚽, Konate M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Pau M. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
46', Diouf G. ↓, Lauberbach L. ↑,
46', Guindo M. ↓, Mendy O. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, De Wolf O. (Own goal),
70', Lutonda T. ↓, Benavides D. ↑,
76', Mrabti K. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
81', Schoofs R. ↓, Teague R. ↑,
81', Zekri M. ↓, Pflucke P. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Halhal R. (Own goal),
89', Liongola J. ↓, Okou Y. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Lauberbach L. ⚽, Bafdili B. (A),
90+2', Maes O. ↓, Gueulette S. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 2, Lauberbach L. ⚽,
90+6', Lauberbach L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

Mechelen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

La Louvière has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mechelen is the team to beat.

There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki (Surgery)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.08.25	Royal Antwerp - KV Mechelen	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	KV Mechelen - Gent	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Westerlo - KV Mechelen	0:1 ✺
01.08.25	KV Mechelen - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Zulte Waregem - KV Mechelen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTWWT
- RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.08.25	RAAL La Louvière - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Sint-Truidense - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	RAAL La Louvière - Charleroi	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Gent - RAAL La Louvière	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	RAAL La Louvière - Standard Liège	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.07.25	KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière	1:0
Belgian Cup
30.10.24	KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière	3:1 ET

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