Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 39

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Gent		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.7	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.65	1.78	Watch
	4.6	3.79	1.83
	4.39	3.77	1.79
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	4.55	3.77	1.78	Watch
	3.7	3.25	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (4.12)	3.63 ↑ (3.61)	1.8 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
21.8%

Draw
25.9%

Saint-Gilloise
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

26.5%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

25.8%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	5.9%	88.2%

Gent - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (C) 29. Duverne J. 4. Hashioka D. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 20. Araujo T. 22. Lopes L. 27. De Vlieger T. 17. Delorge-Knieper M. 8. Skoras M. 7. Kanga W. 45. Goore H.	37. Scherpen K. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. (C) 48. Leysen F. 25. Khalaili A. 6. Van De Perre K. 8. Zorgane A. 22. Niang O. 23. Zeneli B. 10. Ait El Hadj A. 13. Rodriguez K.
Substitutes
75. Cisse I. 24. Hong Hyun-Seok 15. Ito A. 37. Kadri A. 10. Omgba A. 30. Peersman K. (G) 11. Sonko M. 54. Vernemmen H. 57. Volckaert M.	3. Barry M. T. 9. Biondic M. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 30. Florucz R. 7. Fuseini M. 11. Guilherme Smith 27. Patris L. 14. Pavlic I. 29. Sylla M.
Coaches
De Mil R.	Hubert D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Kanga W. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Kanga W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Goore H. ↓, Sonko M. ↑,
57', Skoras M. 🟨,
57', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
62', Zeneli B. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
62', Niang O. ↓, Guilherme Smith ↑,
62', Rodriguez K. ↓, Biondic M. ↑,
71', Kanga W. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
82', Khalaili A. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
83', Sonko M. 🟨,
84', Araujo T. ↓, Volckaert M. ↑,
84', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
89', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Florucz R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 0.

Gent has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Union SG has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gent may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Union SG is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Gent: Ayinde A. (Injury) De Meyer G. (Shoulder Injury) Paskotsi M. (Muscle Injury) Samoise M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Union SG: David P. (Surgery) Sykes R. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Gent: Hong Hyun-Seok (Injury) Volckaert M. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gent won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:27. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.8:2.2).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Royale Union SG: 24.47% Gent: 10.67%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gent	8	7	1	0	15:4	11	22
3	Royale Union SG	7	6	1	0	21:3	18	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.05.26	Sint-Truidense - Gent	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Gent - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	KV Mechelen - Gent	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Gent - Club Brugge	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTLLT
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.05.26	Club Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	5:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
14.05.26	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	3:1 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.05.26	Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.04.26	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	0:0
06.12.25	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	1:1
09.08.25	Gent - Saint-Gilloise	2:3
25.05.25	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	3:1
05.04.25	Gent - Saint-Gilloise	0:3
26.12.24	Gent - Saint-Gilloise	1:3
Belgian Cup
04.12.24	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	3:2

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