Match Info

INDONESIA: LIGA 1 - ROUND 7

Date: 9 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Pakansari Stadium (Cibinong)


	RANS Nusantara		Madura United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.1	2.15
	2.65	3.35	2.23
	3.14	3.11	2.32
	3.05	3.22	2.23	Watch
	3.15	3.2	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.38)	3.2 ↓ (3.54)	2.23 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RANS Nusantara
30.5%

Draw
28.6%

Madura United
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.1%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RANS Nusantara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RANS Nusantara's form might have worsened.

Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madura United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RANS Nusantara than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RANS Nusantara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madura United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

RANS Nusantara - Madura United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. RANS Nusantara will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Madura United will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Madura United: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Syah H. (G) 5. Doke D. 3. Meneses A. 26. Kiko 45. Hidayat T. 36. Syah I. 17. Sitanggang P. (C) 11. Rahaman A. 66. Maruoka M. 10. Brandao E. 7. Tavinho	81. Hendrawan W. (G) 76. Djin D. A. 19. Aryanto F. (C) 4. Cleberson 33. Araya K. 15. Ariansyah R. 5. Mahler J. 7. Rivera F. 11. Lulinha 95. Junior Brandao 31. Pratama Y.
Substitutes
25. Afandi Z. 88. Fadilla Akbar M. 34. Hamdani T. (G) 20. Irfan A. 78. Irman M. 22. Merauje M. 8. Nugroho A. 28. Satria A. 2. Syukron M. 99. Yudo K.	2. Ariyadi G. 9. Beto 23. Gatra B. 77. Malik R. 10. Nurcahyono S. 16. Rama A. R. 17. Syahertian M. 32. Tahir M. 88. Tama S. (G) 42. Wirawan F. R.
Coaches
Almeida E.	Mauricio Souza

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches RANS Nusantara is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Madura United is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches RANS Nusantara won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams RANS Nusantara won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RANS Nusantara
Indonesian Super League
04.08.23	Borneo Samarinda - RANS Nusantara	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	RANS Nusantara - PSS Sleman	0:0 ✺
23.07.23	Persebaya Surabaya - RANS Nusantara	2:2 ✺
15.07.23	RANS Nusantara - Persita Tangerang	0:1 ✺
09.07.23	Bhayangkara - RANS Nusantara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.7 TTTLW
- Madura United
Indonesian Super League
05.08.23	Madura United - PSIS Semarang	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Barito Putera - Madura United	1:2 ✺
23.07.23	Madura United - Persis Solo	4:3 ✺
15.07.23	Bali United Pusam - Madura United	2:1 ✺
09.07.23	Madura United - Persik Kediri	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
13.04.23	RANS Nusantara - Madura United	0:0
23.12.22	Madura United - RANS Nusantara	0:0
Indonesian President Cup
18.06.22	RANS Nusantara - Madura United	0:0
Indonesian Cup
06.02.19	RANS Nusantara - Madura United	1:1
29.01.19	Madura United - RANS Nusantara	2:0

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