Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 9

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium (Pamekasan)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio


	Madura United		PSIS Semarang

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	2.95
	2.17	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.27	3.35	3.21
	2.24	3.31	3.16	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.2	3.13	3.08
	2.17	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.37)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	3.07 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madura United
41.9%

Draw
28.4%

PSIS Semarang
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.2%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

27.7%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

PSIS Semarang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSIS Semarang than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Madura United - PSIS Semarang Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Madura United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Dida (G) 22. Sanjaya I. 3. Monteiro P. 68. Rusadi A. 14. Sokoy F. 25. Afrisal R. 4. Wehrmann J. 36. Syah I. 11. Lulinha (C) 9. Silva M. 17. Irfan A.	52. Darmawan R. (G) 68. Setiawan T. 5. Ferrari J. 45. Buddin S. 3. Alhafiz H. 19. Dewangga A. 21. Diarra B. 80. Skandari T. 7. Paulo Gali 94. Fernandinho 29. David M. (C)
Substitutes
35. Abdillah H. 7. Akada N. 26. Harlan A. (G) 45. Hidayat T. 24. Muslihuddin T. 19. Putra H. 42. Ramzy F. 5. Rontini C. 77. Samosir S. 41. Triyanto F. 96. Usemahu M. 28. Vedhayanto K.	25. Ferizal S. 6. Lucas 57. Madilesa F. 12. Rahman A. 24. Ramdhani W. 20. Scheunemann B. 56. Syuhada R. 26. Trisna S. (G) 27. Zalnando
Coaches
Coelho Meneses P.	Agius G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Afrisal R. ⚽, Irfan A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Setiawan T. ↓, Ferizal S. ↑,
46', Alhafiz H. ↓, Zalnando ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Irfan A. ⚽, Silva M. (A),
63', Syah I. 🟨,
65', Irfan A. ↓, Muslihuddin T. ↑,
68', Fernandinho ↓, Syuhada R. ↑,
80', Afrisal R. ↓, Samosir S. ↑,
80', Rusadi A. ↓, Rontini C. ↑,
87', David M. ↓, Lucas ↑,
90+2', Syah I. ↓, Ramzy F. ↑,
90+3', Silva M. ↓, Putra H. ↑,
90+5', Samosir S. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Madura United won 3.

Madura United is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Semarang has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Madura United have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Madura United won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Madura United won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madura United
Indonesian Super League
18.10.24	PSM Makassar - Madura United	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Madura United - Persib Bandung	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Dewa United - Madura United	3:3 ✺
17.09.24	PSBS Biak Numfor - Madura United	2:1 ✺
13.09.24	Persis Solo - Madura United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTLL
- PSIS Semarang
Indonesian Super League
17.10.24	PSIS Semarang - Persija Jakarta	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	PSIS Semarang - Arema	1:2 ✺
20.09.24	PSM Makassar - PSIS Semarang	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Persib Bandung - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Dewa United - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
16.12.23	PSIS Semarang - Madura United	2:2
05.08.23	Madura United - PSIS Semarang	1:0
07.03.23	PSIS Semarang - Madura United	0:2
05.12.22	Madura United - PSIS Semarang	0:3
28.01.22	Madura United - PSIS Semarang	2:1
29.09.21	PSIS Semarang - Madura United	0:0
17.12.19	PSIS Semarang - Madura United	2:3

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