Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 13

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de Rocourt (Liège)

Referee: Clerkx K. (Bel)


	RFC Liège		Gent U23

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.8	Watch
	2.2	3.55	2.88
	1.89	3.83	3.41	Watch
	2.21	3.7	2.88
	2.28	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.89)	3.62 ↓ (3.83)	2.95 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFC Liège
43.1%

Draw
25.6%

Gent U23
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

24.1%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

23.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFC Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RFC Liège's form might have worsened.

Gent U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RFC Liège, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent U23 than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

RFC Liège - Gent U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. RFC Liège (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: RFC Liège will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Belin J. (G) 2. Wasinski M. 5. Ngawa P. 4. Bustin J. 25. D'Ostilio J. (C) 24. De Sart A. 10. Hazard K. 8. Sarmiento D. 11. Lefebvre A. 28. Wilmots R. 9. Diouf O.	30. Peersman K. (G) 54. Vernemmen H. 38. Soumah M. (C) 56. Diallo M. 35. De Meyer G. 61. Abdullahi A. 62. Asselman W. 67. Soroka O. 28. El Adfaoui M. 59. Seck E. H. 79. Vydysh R.
Substitutes
1. Andre A. (G) 15. Arslan A. 17. Da Silva F. 20. Gobitaka F. 13. Mouchamps D. 18. Paulet S. 23. Reynaerts S. 6. Shkurti K. 19. Soelle F.	71. Blondeel P. 60. Buggea S. 72. Chaidron A. 58. Djamba Shango J. 73. Donny Sylla A. 65. Morel B. 50. Vanden Borre R. (G) 77. Vanderdonck G. 66. Vidarsson V.
Coaches
Englebert G.	Matton T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Abdullahi A. ⚽, Seck E. H. (A),
44', Diallo M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vydysh R. ↓, Morel B. ↑,
52', D'Ostilio J. 🟨,
65', Ngawa P. ↓, Soelle F. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Abdullahi A. ⚽, Seck E. H. (A),
69', Sarmiento D. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
75', Wilmots R. 🟨,
82', El Adfaoui M. ↓, Vidarsson V. ↑,
86', Englebert G. 🟨,
89', Abdullahi A. ↓, Donny Sylla A. ↑,
90+2', Seck E. H. ↓, Buggea S. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 9).

RFC Liège is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gent U23 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

RFC Liège may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

RFC Liège could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Liège
Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.11.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RFC Liège	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
28.10.25	RFC Liège - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.10.25	RFC Liège - RWDM Brussels	4:3 ✺
19.10.25	Lierse - RFC Liège	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	RFC Liège - Genk U23	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWWW
- AA Gent U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.11.25	Gent U23 - Eupen	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Francs Borains - Gent U23	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Gent U23 - Kortrijk	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Brugge U23 - Gent U23	0:4 ✺
28.09.25	Gent U23 - RWDM Brussels	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWL

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