Match Info

Belgian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade de Rocourt (Liège)


	RFC Liège		Charleroi

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.57	Watch
	5	4.2	1.6	Watch
	5.38	4.07	1.57	Watch
	4.99	4.1	1.59	Watch
	4.7	3.95	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↓ (5)	4.06 ↑ (4)	1.58 (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFC Liège
18.6%

Draw
22.7%

Charleroi
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

23.1%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

17.2%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RFC Liège, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charleroi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

RFC Liège - Charleroi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. RFC Liège will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Charleroi will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - RFC Liège (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. RFC Liège (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andre A. (G) 4. Bustin J. 17. Da Silva F. 24. De Sart A. 9. Diouf O. 25. D'Ostilio J. 10. Hazard K. 11. Lefebvre A. 5. Ngawa P. 2. Wasinski M. 28. Wilmots R.	30. Kone M. (G) 17. Bernier A. 27. Blum L. 5. Camara E. 23. Gaudin J. 10. Guiagon P. 95. Keita C. 4. Ousou A. (C) 8. Romsaas J. 21. Scheidler A. 22. Titraoui Y.
Substitutes
15. Arslan A. 12. Belin J. (G) 20. Gobitaka F. 14. Lucker L. 13. Mouchamps D. 18. Paulet S. 23. Reynaerts S. 6. Shkurti K. 19. Soelle F.	56. Boukamir A. 32. Boukamir M. 25. Colassin A. . Delavalee M. (G) 40. Khalifi Y. 24. Nzita M. 14. Pflucke P. 9. Szymczak F. 3. Van Den Kerkhof K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', 🟨,
38', Romsaas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bustin J. ↓, Mouchamps D. ↑,
61', Romsaas J. ↓, Pflucke P. ↑,
71', Da Silva F. ↓, Shkurti K. ↑,
73', Guiagon P. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
80', 🟨,
81', Lefebvre A. ↓, Gobitaka F. ↑,
87', Scheidler A. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑,
87', Titraoui Y. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
88', Gaudin J. ↓, Nzita M. ↑,
89', Keita C. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 1, Khalifi Y. ⚽,
90+2', Ngawa P. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
90+2', De Sart A. ↓, Soelle F. ↑,
90+3', Blum L. 🟨,

Preview

RFC Liège is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Charleroi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

RFC Liège may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Charleroi is seen as the favorite.

We predict that RFC Liège will win today's game, with odds of 4.88.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Liège
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.10.25	RFC Liège - RWDM Brussels	4:3 ✺
19.10.25	Lierse - RFC Liège	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	RFC Liège - Genk U23	5:0 ✺
28.09.25	Lommel - RFC Liège	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	RFC Liège - Beveren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWL
- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.10.25	Charleroi - Anderlecht	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Gent - Charleroi	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Charleroi - Zulte Waregem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLL

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