Match Info

Virsliga - Round 29

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: LNK Sporta Parks (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, Virsliga Plus
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	RFS		Liepāja

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.26	5.25	7.75
	1.21	5.80	9.00	Watch
	1.26	5.60	11.59
	1.32	5.27	8.1	Watch
	1.24	5.45	11.00
	1.30	5.33	8.63
	1.24	5.00	8.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.33)	5.39 ↑ (4.85)	9.21 ↑ (7.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFS
72.9%

Draw
17.1%

Liepāja
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

18.7%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

17.9%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

RFS - Liepāja Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Liepāja (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matrevics R. (G) 6. Filipovic A. 23. Prenga H. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 18. Zelenkovs D. 66. Saidy M. 26. Panic S. 19. Balde A. 10. Ikaunieks J. 8. Odisharia L. 15. Ndjiki R.	24. Oss D. (G) 35. Sorokins V. 26. Isajevs V. 34. Talisca 2. Straalman B. 5. Strumia L. (C) 28. Korobenko A. 7. Ogunniyi A. 18. Oloko E. 23. Haidara A. 9. Crysthyan
Substitutes
21. Dusalijevs N. 99. Kumater S. 22. Lemajic D. 77. Mankenda G. 35. Maric M. (G) 81. Rakic S. 11. Savalnieks R. 5. Sliede N. 14. Sylla M.	11. Almazbekov B. 3. Iljins K. 44. Leidsman K. 77. Leite A. 4. Martins M. 17. Melnis B. 70. Patijcuks D. 12. Petkovic D. (G) 6. Rodolphe E.
Coaches
Morozs V.	Torres C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Isajevs V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Ogunniyi A. 🟨,
64', Crysthyan ↓, Almazbekov B. ↑,
68', Talisca 🟨,
68', Balde A. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
78', Haidara A. ↓, Melnis B. ↑,
78', Korobenko A. ↓, Rodolphe E. ↑,
83', Saidy M. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
83', Odisharia L. ↓, Kumater S. ↑,
86', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Leite A. ↑,
90+3', Rodolphe E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFS won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, RFS is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RFS won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:15. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, RFS won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:5. (average 2.4:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	RFS	30	23	5	2	71:22	49	74
4	FK Liepaja	31	12	7	12	41:43	-2	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK RFS
Latvian Cup
03.09.26	RFS - Riga	2:3 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
30.08.26	Ogre United - RFS	0:3 ✺
23.08.26	RFS - Riga	3:3 ✺
Latvian Cup
16.08.26	Super Nova - RFS	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	RFS - Jablonec	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWTWL
- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
31.08.26	Liepāja - Riga	3:2 ✺
25.08.26	Auda Riga - Liepāja	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Liepāja - Grobiņa	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	Super Nova - Liepāja	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Tukums 2000 - Liepāja	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
26.06.26	Liepāja - RFS	0:2
08.05.26	RFS - Liepāja	5:0
13.03.26	Liepāja - RFS	0:1
28.09.25	Liepāja - RFS	2:2
04.07.25	RFS - Liepāja	2:1
14.05.25	Liepāja - RFS	2:1
29.03.25	RFS - Liepāja	4:1

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