Match Info

Latvian Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: LNK Sporta Parks (Riga)


	RFS		Riga

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.20	2.60
	2.45	3.20	2.62
	2.47	3.3	2.66
	2.13	3.36	3.06
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.51	3.46	2.62	Watch
	2.02	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.45)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	2.72 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFS
38.8%

Draw
27.7%

Riga
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.4%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.9%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

RFS - Riga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matrevics R. (G) 6. Filipovic A. 10. Ikaunieks J. 99. Kumater S. 77. Mankenda G. 8. Odisharia L. 26. Panic S. 23. Prenga H. (C) 66. Saidy M. 5. Sliede N. 14. Sylla M.	91. Orols F. (G) 40. Ankrah A. 7. Aouani R. 34. Cernomordijs A. (C) 22. Diop M. 8. Iago Siqueira 13. Jurkovskis R. 21. Musah B. 10. Reginaldo Ramires 17. Salazar A. 5. Wassom K.
Substitutes
19. Balde A. 49. Kigurs M. 43. Lipuscek Z. 35. Maric M. (G) 15. Ndjiki R. 30. Njie H. 81. Rakic S. 11. Savalnieks R. 18. Zelenkovs D.	19. Badamosi M. 99. Caio Ferreira 18. Oulad M'Hand S. 31. Papadoudis A. (G) 33. Paulo Eduardo 15. Robalo Pedro S. L. 6. Saco C. 25. Taiwo A. 23. Tonisevs M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Prenga H. ⚽,
4', 1 - 1, Reginaldo Ramires ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Wassom K. ↓, Oulad M'Hand S. ↑,
46', Prenga H. ↓, Lipuscek Z. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Reginaldo Ramires ⚽, Iago Siqueira (A),
59', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Badamosi M. ↑,
59', Diop M. ↓, Caio Ferreira ↑,
59', Odisharia L. ↓, Ndjiki R. ↑,
59', Mankenda G. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
59', Panic S. ↓, Njie H. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Filipovic A. ⚽,
66', Iago Siqueira 🟨,
76', 2 - 3, Oulad M'Hand S. ⚽,
80', Saidy M. ↓, Kigurs M. ↑,
83', Musah B. 🟨,
86', Aouani R. ↓, Paulo Eduardo ↑,
90', Salazar A. ↓, Tonisevs M. ↑,
90+1', Kigurs M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFS won 1.

RFS is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Riga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

RFS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RFS won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, RFS won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK RFS
Latvian Virsliga
30.08.26	Ogre United - RFS	0:3 ✺
23.08.26	RFS - Riga	3:3 ✺
Latvian Cup
16.08.26	Super Nova - RFS	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	RFS - Jablonec	1:2 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
10.08.26	RFS - Grobiņa	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTWLW
- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
31.08.26	Liepāja - Riga	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Riga - KÍ Klaksvík	2:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
23.08.26	RFS - Riga	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	KÍ Klaksvík - Riga	0:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
16.08.26	Riga - Metta	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
23.08.26	RFS - Riga	3:3
17.06.26	Riga - RFS	2:1
28.04.26	RFS - Riga	3:3
07.11.25	Riga - RFS	3:4
25.09.25	RFS - Riga	0:0
18.06.25	Riga - RFS	3:1
26.04.25	RFS - Riga	0:1

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