Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: LNK Sporta Parks (Riga)

Referee: Frid I. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Latvia	TV4
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	RFS		Jablonec

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.10	3.20	3.25
	2.02	3.2	3.55
	2.12	3.44	3.33
	2.08	3.52	3.35	Watch
	2.01	3.4	3.3
	2.06	3.48	3.56	Watch
	2.09	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.12)	3.34 ↓ (3.42)	3.39 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFS
44.9%

Draw
27.8%

Jablonec
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

27%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	25%	6.2%

RFS - Jablonec Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. RFS will win (votes: 22 - 68.8%). Jablonec will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RFS: 52.7% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. RFS (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matrevics R. (G) 6. Filipovic A. 23. Prenga H. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 18. Zelenkovs D. 66. Saidy M. 26. Panic S. 19. Balde A. 10. Ikaunieks J. 8. Odisharia L. 15. Ndjiki R.	1. Hanus J. (G) 7. Chanturishvili V. 18. Cedidla M. 4. Tekijaski N. (C) 15. Pavlovic D. 20. Slama J. 25. Nebyla S. 13. Sedlacek R. 8. Zorvan F. 44. Jawo L. 21. Polidar M.
Substitutes
21. Dusalijevs N. 9. Korac D. 22. Lemajic D. 77. Mankenda G. 40. Muizzemnieks M. (G) 81. Rakic S. 5. Sliede N. 14. Sylla M. 4. Veips R.	16. Ahl H. 19. Chramosta J. 99. Mihelak K. (G) 57. Novak F. 6. Okeke N. 9. Rusek A. 23. Sobol E. 14. Soucek D. 10. Suchan J. 27. Vecheta F.
Coaches
Morozs V.	Kozel L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Sedlacek R. ⚽, Polidar M. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Nebyla S. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 1 - 2, Lipuscek Z. ⚽, Zelenkovs D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Panic S. 🟨,
56', Saidy M. 🟨,
61', Zorvan F. ↓, Rusek A. ↑,
61', Polidar M. ↓, Suchan J. ↑,
68', Sedlacek R. 🟨,
71', Balde A. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
78', Jawo L. ↓, Okeke N. ↑,
79', Filipovic A. 🟨,
83', Filipovic A. 🟨,
84', Odisharia L. ↓, Mankenda G. ↑,
84', Saidy M. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
85', Chanturishvili V. ↓, Soucek D. ↑,
85', Nebyla S. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
89', Vecheta F. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-2.

RFS is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jablonec is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

RFS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jablonec has had a series of home games.

RFS might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, RFS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Jablonec: 0.3%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK RFS
Latvian Virsliga
10.08.26	RFS - Grobiņa	6:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Jablonec - RFS	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Vestri - RFS	1:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
27.07.26	Tukums 2000 - RFS	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	RFS - Vestri	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTWW
- FK Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga
09.08.26	Jablonec - Slovácko	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Jablonec - RFS	2:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
02.08.26	Pardubice - Jablonec	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Jablonec - Varaždin	2:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
26.07.26	Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Jablonec - RFS	2:0

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