Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Neuville (Charleroi)

Referee: Calluy R. (Bel)


	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne		Kortrijk

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.9	1.5	Watch
	5.25	4.2	1.46
	5.5	4.35	1.49
	5.53	4.54	1.52
	30.00	16.02	1.03	Watch
	5.5	4	1.44
	5.58	4.3	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.94 ↑ (5.68)	5.9 ↑ (4.4)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
11.3%

Draw
17.2%

Kortrijk
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

20.7%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

19.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Kortrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kortrijk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kortrijk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

ROC de Charleroi Marchienne - Kortrijk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kortrijk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Van Hecke M. (G) 77. Ferrara L. 4. Jahic H. 3. Ndedi Kegne K. J. 6. Kis K. 17. Cachbach M. 11. Florica L. 10. Ion R. 38. Diallo T. 13. Medfai M. 9. Eyongo R.	31. Ilic M. (G) 15. Fofana M. 22. Ruyssen G. (C) 5. Ndjeungoue J. 14. De Smet L. 6. De Smet L. 35. Lambert B. 3. Anderson M. 10. Hens L. 18. van Landschoot J. 68. Ambrose T.
Substitutes
18. Berberi R. . Capodivento L. 7. Cisse M. 55. Corneillie V. 49. Kima Beyissa K. . Kopic V. 5. Thea A. 1. Vitasek D. (G)	. Boussadia M. . Challouk Y. . De Vlaeminck E. (G) . Djite I. . Gueye M. . Himpe K. . Ogbuehi S. . Verbauwhede L. . Wirsiy Nsolo F.
Coaches
Janackovic D.	Jonckheere M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Ambrose T. (Pen),
29', 0 - 2, Ambrose T. ⚽, De Smet L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Ndedi Kegne K. J. ↓, Corneillie V. ↑,
59', Eyongo R. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
59', Ion R. ↓, Berberi R. ↑,
60', 0 - 3, De Smet L. ⚽,
61', Fofana M. ↓, Wirsiy Nsolo F. ↑,
66', Ilic M. 🟨,
69', Anderson M. ↓, Ogbuehi S. ↑,
76', De Smet L. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
76', Hens L. ↓, Challouk Y. ↑,
80', Florica L. 🟨,
84', Kis K. ↓, Kima Beyissa K. ↑,
86', Gueye M. 🟨,
90+2', Gueye M. 🟨,

Preview

ROCCM has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kortrijk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kortrijk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kortrijk is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian Challenger Pro League
16.08.25	Lommel - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:0 ✺
08.08.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Gent U23	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Roda - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:3 ✺
24.07.25	Union Rochefortoise - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1 ✺
21.07.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LLTTT
- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Challenger Pro League
16.08.25	Kortrijk - Lierse	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Anderlecht U23 - Kortrijk	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Kortrijk - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Harelbeke - Kortrijk	2:2 ✺
09.07.25	AEK Athens - Kortrijk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWTL

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