Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 16

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Neuville (Charleroi)

Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)


	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne		Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.7	1.85	Watch
	3.85	3.5	1.85
	4.26	3.59	1.93
	4.11	3.76	1.8	Watch
	4	3.3	1.8
	3.82	3.71	1.86	Watch
	4	3.6	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↓ (4.44)	3.59 ↑ (3.46)	1.84 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
23.4%

Draw
25.9%

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

26.4%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

25.6%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patro Eisden Maasmechelen than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

ROC de Charleroi Marchienne - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Predictions

Users Predictions: Patro Eisden Maasmechelen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Herrerin I. (G) 3. Ndedi Kegne K. J. 6. Kis K. 4. Jahic H. 77. Ferrara L. 2. Sarkic O. 28. Spago E. 11. Florica L. 13. Medfai M. 17. Cachbach M. 10. Ion R.	16. Devriendt J. (G) 62. Penin A. 14. Renson J. (C) 4. Borry K. 85. Dony A. 39. Robberechts M. 6. Masangu K. 8. Peeters S. 31. Orye N. 9. Rousseau L. 11. Rais A.
Substitutes
18. Berberi R. 7. Cisse M. 81. Dailly N. 38. Diallo T. 22. Hameed H. 8. Lake T. 12. Ramalho J. 5. Thea A. 1. Vitasek D. (G)	28. Ahassad N. 2. De Schrijver P. 1. Gelade G. (G) 81. Mabanza V. R. 19. Mbaku Mbabit J. 10. M'barki R. 55. Muanza J. 13. Prychynenko D. 52. Sarfo R.
Coaches
Mercier A.	Stijnen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Ndedi Kegne K. J. 🟨,
33', Robberechts M. 🟨,
44', Florica L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Ion R. ↓, Lake T. ↑,
68', Medfai M. ↓, Dailly N. ↑,
70', Spago E. 🟨,
70', Robberechts M. ↓, M'barki R. ↑,
76', Jahic H. ↓, Ramalho J. ↑,
80', Orye N. ↓, Mabanza V. R. ↑,
83', Kis K. ↓, Thea A. ↑,
83', Florica L. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
89', Rais A. ↓, Sarfo R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Eisden is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ROCCM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, ROCCM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian Challenger Pro League
30.11.25	Genk U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:4 ✺
23.11.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Francs Borains - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RFC Liège	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
28.10.25	Dender EH - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	4:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLWTL
- Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
29.11.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Gent U23	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - RWDM Brussels	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Kortrijk - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Anderlecht U23	0:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
30.10.25	Gent - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
06.05.23	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1
07.03.20	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	4:1
26.10.19	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:0

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