Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Edmond Machtens Stadium (Brussels)

Referee: Jacoby A. (Bel)


	RWDM Brussels		Genk U23

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.75	8	Watch
	1.3	5.5	7.9	Watch
	1.39	4.86	6.32	Watch
	1.3	5.74	7.99	Watch
	1.32	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.39)	5.37 ↑ (4.86)	7.54 ↑ (6.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RWDM Brussels
70.3%

Draw
17.3%

Genk U23
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

19%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

18.3%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RWDM Brussels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Genk U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RWDM Brussels than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

RWDM Brussels - Genk U23 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lathouwers B. (G) 99. Persyn T. 47. Verhaeghe M. 4. Doudaev D. R. (C) 27. Chaib Y. 26. Kestens P. 20. Poku K. 83. Lemmens M. 29. Maurer A. 14. Dumont O. 77. Segovia M.	71. Stevens B. (G) 2. Pierre K. 22. Manguelle B. (C) 73. Mbavu E. 55. Yoshinaga Y. 87. Yasuda K. 79. Nzoko D. 86. Haroun K. 50. Beniangba V. 11. Oyen L. 23. Bibout A.
Substitutes
17. Adamo V. 28. Hubert G. (G) 8. Jacob Montes 13. Keita M. 30. Loune A. 19. Montoro F. 45. Sanhaji B. 7. Sapata 9. Simbakoli U.	62. Cauwel M. 66. Coenen J. 52. Da Costa W. 70. Decresson L. 76. Driessen J. 53. Mocsnik M. 84. Sarfo E. 80. Toure S. 82. Vliegen O. (G)
Coaches
Frans F.	Van Rumst J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Kestens P. ⚽, Persyn T. (A),
33', Bibout A. 🟨,
42', Maurer A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Beniangba V. ↓, Decresson L. ↑,
70', Maurer A. ↓, Montoro F. ↑,
70', Poku K. ↓, Adamo V. ↑,
74', Haroun K. ↓, Mocsnik M. ↑,
74', Nzoko D. ↓, Da Costa W. ↑,
74', Manguelle B. ↓, Cauwel M. ↑,
79', Kestens P. ↓, Loune A. ↑,
81', Oyen L. ↓, Toure S. ↑,
87', Verhaeghe M. ↓, Jacob Montes ↑,
88', Montoro F. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Yasuda K. ⚽, Decresson L. (A),
90+5', Doudaev D. R. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).

In recent matches, RWDM Brussels has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Genk U23's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

RWDM Brussels may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, RWDM Brussels has had a series of away games.

In this match, RWDM Brussels is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, RWDM Brussels won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, RWDM Brussels won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RWDM Brussels
Belgian Cup
29.10.25	Genk - RWDM Brussels	3:0 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.10.25	RFC Liège - RWDM Brussels	4:3 ✺
18.10.25	RWDM Brussels - Brugge U23	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Eupen - RWDM Brussels	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Gent U23 - RWDM Brussels	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWTW
- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.10.25	Eupen - Genk U23	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Genk U23 - Francs Borains	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	RFC Liège - Genk U23	5:0 ✺
26.09.25	Genk U23 - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1:4 ✺
23.09.25	Genk U23 - Beerschot Wilrijk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
24.01.25	RWDM Brussels - Genk U23	1:0
21.09.24	Genk U23 - RWDM Brussels	0:3
25.11.22	Genk U23 - RWDM Brussels	2:0
17.09.22	RWDM Brussels - Genk U23	1:1

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