The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Racing 40.4%
Draw 31.1%
Belgrano 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
29.8%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
30.4%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Racing - Belgrano Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Belgrano will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Cambeses F. (C) 4. Cannavo E. 38. Martinez M. 43. Escudero G. 19. Rodriguez I. 33. Perez L. 32. Diaz L. 16. Ortegoza U. 20. Lodico G. A. 17. Conechny T. 9. Adrian Martinez
23. Vicentini M. (G) 14. Morales L. 2. Maldonado A. 17. Lopez L. 3. Sporle A. 21. Sanchez A. 20. Vazquez F. 24. Rigoni E. 10. Zelarayan L. (C) 8. Hernandes R. 9. Passerini L.
Substitutes
14. Barinaga J. 23. Colombo N. 24. Fernandez A. 5. Kranevitter M. 10. Miljevic M. 18. Pacha 2. Perez M. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 46. Tello A. 22. Torres E. 7. Vergara D. 11. Zaracho M.
26. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 25. Cardozo T. (G) 45. Falcon A. 22. Fernandez N. 11. Gonzalez F. 37. Gutierrez L. 5. Longo S. 13. Ocampo A. 16. Ricca F. 15. Tulian R. 53. Velazquez J. 30. Zelarayan G.
Coaches
Ariel Romero S.
Zielinski R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Hernandes R. 🟨,
24', Sanchez A. 🟨,
35', Sporle A. 🟨,
39', Passerini L. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Zelarayan L. ⚽, Passerini L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ortegoza U. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
62', Diaz L. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
63', Torres E. 🟨,
68', Hernandes R. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
72', Conechny T. ↓, Tello A. ↑,
72', Perez L. ↓, Miljevic M. ↑,
76', Rigoni E. ↓, Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↑,
79', Lodico G. A. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
84', Sporle A. ↓, Longo S. ↑,
85', Passerini L. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 2, Vazquez F. ⚽, Zelarayan L. (A),
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 13th and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 4.
In recent outings, Racing has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Belgrano shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Belgrano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Racing holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Racing: Barinaga J.
(Muscle Injury)
Carboni V.
(Knee Injury)
Di Cesare M.
(Broken Leg)
Forneris A.
(Knee Injury)
Rojo M.
(Inactive)
Zaracho M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Belgrano: Biani J.
(Injury)
Charras T.
(Inactive)
Daniele M.
(Knee Injury)
Falcon A.
(Knee Injury)
Ortiz M.
(Inactive).
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Racing has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:16 (averaging 1.7:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Racing against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 13:2 goals (averaging 1.6:0.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Racing - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.89%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.