Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Viola F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Sarmiento de Junín		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.85	2.4
	3.10	3.00	2.35
	3.2	2.92	2.45	Watch
	3.36	2.99	2.49
	3.17	3.05	2.44	Watch
	3.3	2.95	2.45
	3.28	2.97	2.44	Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.19)	2.96 ↓ (3)	2.43 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
29.2%

Draw
31.9%

Belgrano
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

31.2%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

30.6%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Sarmiento de Junín - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Sarmiento (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ayala T. (G) 8. Salle S. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 77. Pasquini N. 19. Contrera J. 15. Zabala C. 16. Martinez M. 21. Mavilla J. 27. Marabel J. 24. Herrera J.	25. Cardozo T. (G) 26. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 14. Morales L. 17. Lopez L. 16. Ricca F. 20. Vazquez F. 5. Longo S. 24. Rigoni E. 10. Zelarayan L. (C) 8. Hernandes R. 22. Fernandez N.
Substitutes
1. Arboleda I. (G) 6. Arturia G. 33. Diaz G. 9. Diego Churin 5. Garcia M. 23. Gimenez E. 20. Gimenez U. 11. Gonzalez G. 7. Magnin P. 17. Nadruz A. 10. Renteria J. 29. Santamaria T.	58. Bono A. 59. Flandes J. 19. Gatti S. 11. Gonzalez F. 37. Gutierrez L. 2. Maldonado A. 9. Passerini L. 4. Rosso A. 3. Sporle A. 53. Velazquez J. 23. Vicentini M. (G) 30. Zelarayan G.
Coaches
Sava F.	Zielinski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
17', Martinez M. 🟨,
33', Marabel J. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 1 - 0, Marabel J. ⚽,
39', Fernandez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Salle S. 🟨,
57', Herrera J. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
64', Longo S. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
64', Ricca F. ↓, Sporle A. ↑,
68', Contrera J. ↓, Arturia G. ↑,
72', Hernandes R. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
79', Diego Churin 🟨,
80', Salle S. ↓, Santamaria T. ↑,
80', Marabel J. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
80', Mavilla J. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
84', Fernandez N. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
90+10', 1 - 1, Passerini L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0.

Sarmiento is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Belgrano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Belgrano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Sarmiento de Junín - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 29.38%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Belgrano - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.39%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.09.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Sarmiento de Junín	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Unión Santa Fe - Sarmiento de Junín	4:1 ✺
23.08.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Atlético Tucumán - Sarmiento de Junín	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WLWWW
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.09.26	Belgrano - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Atlético Tucumán - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Belgrano - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.08.26	Racing - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.26	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín	4:0
04.08.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Belgrano	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.02.24	Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín	4:1
25.09.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Belgrano	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.04.23	Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0
20.11.16	Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín	1:2
05.03.16	Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín	3:0

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