Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Domingo Perón (Avellaneda)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium, HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Racing		Independiente

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.85	3.6	Watch
	2.3	2.92	3.5	Watch
	2.33	3.04	3.65
	17.60	1.04	22.72	Watch
	2.31	3.02	3.49	Watch
	1.9	3.05	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (1.93)	2.65 ↓ (3.13)	6.89 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Racing
28.6%

Draw
51.5%

Independiente
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

30%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

30.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Racing - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cambeses F. (G) 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 18. Pardo F. 23. Colombo N. 27. Rojas G. 36. Zuculini B. 13. Sosa S. 32. Almendra A. E. 7. Vergara D. 9. Adrian Martinez 17. Conechny T.	33. Rey R. (G) 4. Vera F. 26. Lomonaco K. 6. Freire N. 22. Zabala F. 5. Loyola F. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 7. Montiel S. 10. Cabral L. 19. Abaldo M. 25. Pussetto I.
Substitutes
21. Arias G. (G) 77. Balboa A. 16. Barrios M. 3. Di Cesare M. 24. Fernandez A. 8. Forneris A. 2. Garcia A. 34. Mura F. 35. Quiros S. 19. Rodriguez I. 26. Sanchez R. 22. Torres E.	9. Avalos G. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 31. Bordon G. 8. Galdames P. 29. Godoy L. 11. Mancuello F. 23. Marcone I. 17. Mazzantti W. 32. Paredes F. 28. Taborda E. 27. Tarzia D. 3. Valenzuela M.
Coaches
Costas G.	Quinteros G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
34', Zuculini B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Almendra A. E. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
64', Vergara D. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
64', Martirena Torres G. N. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
64', Rojas G. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
65', Zuculini B. ↓, Di Cesare M. ↑,
73', Abaldo M. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
76', Conechny T. 🟨,
81', Loyola F. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
81', Pussetto I. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
82', Rodriguez I. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.

Racing is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Independiente's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Racing might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Racing: Rojo M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Racing: Nardoni J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Copa Libertadores
23.09.25	Racing - Vélez Sársfield	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.09.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Racing	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.25	Vélez Sársfield - Racing	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.09.25	Racing - San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Racing - Unión Santa Fe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWL
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.09.25	Independiente - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Independiente - Banfield	0:1 ✺
29.08.25	Instituto Córdoba - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.25	Independiente - Universidad de Chile	Abandoned ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.25	Vélez Sársfield - Independiente	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLT?L

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.25	Independiente - Racing	1:1
25.08.24	Racing - Independiente	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.02.24	Independiente - Racing	0:1
30.09.23	Racing - Independiente	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.04.23	Independiente - Racing	1:1
10.07.22	Racing - Independiente	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.03.22	Independiente - Racing	1:2

Upcoming Matches