The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Racing 40.1%
Draw 31.7%
Independiente 28.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.5%
29.6%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
29.8%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Racing - Independiente Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Independiente will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Cambeses F. (C) 14. Barinaga J. 38. Martinez M. 43. Escudero G. 19. Rodriguez I. 11. Zaracho M. 5. Kranevitter M. 20. Lodico G. A. 32. Diaz L. 9. Adrian Martinez 17. Conechny T.
33. Rey R. (G) 4. Arias S. 36. Valdez S. 35. Arrayago J. 5. Banegas N. 16. Perez Curci M. 23. Marcone I. (C) 8. Meza M. 7. Montiel S. 6. Avila C. 10. Cabral L.
Substitutes
4. Cannavo E. 23. Colombo N. 24. Fernandez A. 40. Fraga F. 16. Ortegoza U. 18. Pacha 33. Perez L. 2. Perez M. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 46. Tello A. 22. Torres E. 7. Vergara D.
19. Abaldo M. 2. Calderon F. 13. Fedorco J. 29. Godoy L. 32. Martinez D. 77. Mele S. (G) 14. Millan L. 9. Morales I. 24. Palais J. 30. Parmo T. 34. Tempone F. 22. Zabala F.
Coaches
Ariel Romero S.
Viera J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Barinaga J. 🟨,
17', Zaracho M. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Zaracho M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cabral L. ↓, Abaldo M. ↑,
49', Martinez M. 🟨,
64', Escudero G. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Meza M. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Conechny T. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
73', Zaracho M. ↓, Ortegoza U. ↑,
73', Kranevitter M. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
76', Barinaga J. ↓, Cannavo E. ↑,
78', Avila C. ↓, Morales I. ↑,
78', Arias S. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
81', Diaz L. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
86', Banegas N. ↓, Zabala F. ↑,
87', Morales I. 🟨,
89', Meza M. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
90+2', Godoy L. 🟨,
90+3', Perez L. 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th and 7th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Independiente could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Racing is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Racing: Carboni V.
(Knee Injury)
Di Cesare M.
(Broken Leg)
Forneris A.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Independiente: De Irastorza J.
(Knee Injury)
Zabala F.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Racing has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:14 (averaging 1:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Racing against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:6 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now
Independiente: 1.88%
Last Results with these Odds
Racing - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.54%, but this team recently wins 79% of matches with these odds.