The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Racing 51.4%
Draw 27.3%
Sarmiento de Junín 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.8%
27.1%
16.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.8%
27.1%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.
Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sarmiento de Junín's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarmiento de Junín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Racing - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Cambeses F. (C) 11. Zaracho M. 38. Martinez M. 6. Rojo M. 43. Escudero G. 19. Rodriguez I. 16. Ortegoza U. 33. Perez L. 20. Lodico G. A. 32. Diaz L. 9. Adrian Martinez
12. Ayala T. (G) 8. Salle S. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 77. Pasquini N. 19. Contrera J. 15. Zabala C. 16. Martinez M. 21. Mavilla J. 27. Marabel J. 24. Herrera J.
Substitutes
35. Campo A. 23. Colombo N. 17. Conechny T. 24. Fernandez A. 5. Kranevitter M. 48. Leiva G. 10. Miljevic M. 18. Pacha 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 46. Tello A. 22. Torres E. 7. Vergara D.
35. Alaggia F. 1. Arboleda I. (G) 6. Arturia G. 33. Diaz G. 9. Diego Churin 5. Garcia M. 23. Gimenez E. 20. Gimenez U. 11. Gonzalez G. 7. Magnin P. 10. Renteria J. 29. Santamaria T.
Coaches
Vojvoda J.
Sava F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Escudero G. ⚽, Ortegoza U. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Marabel J. ⚽, Contrera J. (A),
39', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Adrian Martinez ⚽, Ortegoza U. (A),
58', Herrera J. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
58', Contrera J. ↓, Renteria J. ↑,
62', Zabala C. 🟨,
63', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
71', Martinez M. 🟨,
78', Escudero G. ↓, Colombo N. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Rodriguez I. ⚽,
81', Martinez M. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
81', Pasquini N. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
82', Mavilla J. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
83', Salle S. 🟨,
85', Ortegoza U. ↓, Kranevitter M. ↑,
85', Lodico G. A. ↓, Miljevic M. ↑,
90+1', Adrian Martinez ↓, Torres E. ↑,
90+1', Diaz L. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 15th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Playoffs1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.
Racing is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sarmiento shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this matchup, Racing is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Racing: Carboni V.
(Knee Injury)
Colombo N.
(Inactive)
Di Cesare M.
(Injury)
Forneris A.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Sarmiento: Godoy J.
(Knee Injury)
Seyral A.
(Inactive)
Villalba C.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Sarmiento: Suarez L.
(Inactive).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Racing has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:7 (averaging 1.2:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Racing against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:3 goals (averaging 1.6:0.6 per game).
Argentina
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Brazil
Canada
Chile
Colombia
Croatia
Kosovo
Mexico
Peru
Serbia
South-america
Turkey
United-kingdom
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
Watch
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Cambeses F. (C) 
Ortegoza U. 
Orihuela R. 
Marabel J. 
Campo A. 
Miljevic M. 
Vergara D. 
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