Match Info

SPAIN: COPA FEDERACION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday


	San Roque de Lepe		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.63	3.08	2.74
	2.63	2.93	2.71
	2.3	3	2.6
	2.5	3.08	2.65
	2.6	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (5.76)	2.99 ↓ (3.3)	2.67 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Roque de Lepe
35.8%

Draw
30.3%

Talavera de la Reina
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

28.2%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

26.7%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Roque de Lepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Roque de Lepe's performance.

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Talavera de la Reina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Roque de Lepe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talavera de la Reina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

San Roque de Lepe - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. San Roque de Lepe will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Roque de Lepe: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

San Roque de Lepe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Linense	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Girona	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.10.23	Cadiz CF B - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	San Roque de Lepe - Estepona	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Manchego - San Roque de Lepe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLLW
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.11.23	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - Almería	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.10.23	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	3:2 ✺
22.10.23	Ursaria - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLTW

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