Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Koroleva E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Nigeria	21:00	SupeSport ESPN 1
South Africa	22:00	SupeSport ESPN
Usa	16:00	CBS Sports Network, ion TV, NWSL+, Tubi TV


	Racing Louisville		North Carolina Courage

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.3	1.95
	3.25	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.26	3.68	2
	3.39	3.73	1.98	Watch
	3.2	3.3	1.95
	3.37	3.5	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.37)	3.49 ↑ (3.48)	1.96 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Louisville
27.6%

Draw
26.1%

North Carolina Courage
46.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.2%

26.3%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Louisville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

North Carolina Courage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Louisville than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Racing Louisville - North Carolina Courage Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Racing Louisville will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). North Carolina will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing Louisville (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bloomer J. (G) 2. Milliet L. 3. Wright A. (C) 8. Petersen C. 12. McMahon Q. 26. Flint T. 20. O'Kane K. 4. Morris M. 10. Hodge M. 13. Sears E. 9. Fischer K.	1. Sheridan K. (C) 13. Williams R. 18. Shiragaki U. 12. Staude N. 17. Weatherholt D. 16. Jackson R. 20. Koyama S. 34. Matsukubo M. 35. Schlegel A. 10. Ijeh E. 2. Sanchez A.
Substitutes
23. Blackburn M. 19. Ciorbu A. 30. Floyd E. (G) 15. Gacioch M. 21. Hill R. 16. Lardner M. 88. McKeen A. 1. Prohaska M. (G) 11. White T.	5. Brooks C. 6. Garner I. 8. Okafor C. 80. Pena O. 11. Rauch F. 99. White M. (G) 14. Wickenheiser C. 9. Wingate O.
Coaches
Yanez B.	Lind M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', McMahon Q. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Ijeh E. ⚽, Matsukubo M. (A),
22', Bloomer J. ↓, Prohaska M. ↑,
39', Jackson R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Hodge M. ↓, Lardner M. ↑,
63', Morris M. ↓, McKeen A. ↑,
68', Schlegel A. ↓, Rauch F. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Sanchez A. ⚽, Rauch F. (A),
81', McMahon Q. ↓, Ciorbu A. ↑,
82', Ijeh E. ↓, Garner I. ↑,
86', Jackson R. ↓, Wickenheiser C. ↑,
86', Sanchez A. ↓, Wingate O. ↑,
86', Weatherholt D. ↓, Brooks C. ↑,
87', Shiragaki U. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Wright A. ⚽, O'Kane K. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing Louisville won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

North Carolina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Racing Louisville won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:34. (average 0.9:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing Louisville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	North Carolina Courage W	29	13	3	13	51:42	9	42
15	Racing Louisville W	29	7	3	19	38:60	-22	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Louisville
NWSL
17.05.26	Utah Royals - Racing Louisville	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	NJ NY Gotham - Racing Louisville	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Washington Spirit - Racing Louisville	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Racing Louisville - Orlando Pride	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLW
- North Carolina Courage
NWSL
16.05.26	North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars	4:0 ✺
08.05.26	Orlando Pride - North Carolina Courage	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	North Carolina Courage - Kansas City Current	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Boston Legacy - North Carolina Courage	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Houston Dash - North Carolina Courage	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
14.03.26	North Carolina Courage - Racing Louisville	2:1
04.10.25	North Carolina Courage - Racing Louisville	1:3
15.03.25	Racing Louisville - North Carolina Courage	1:1
21.09.24	Racing Louisville - North Carolina Courage	2:1
07.07.24	North Carolina Courage - Racing Louisville	3:1
NWSL Challenge Cup
09.09.23	North Carolina Courage - Racing Louisville	2:0
NWSL
24.06.23	North Carolina Courage - Racing Louisville	1:0

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