Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: America First Field (Sandy, UT)

Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Usa	NWSL+, Victory+
World	Onefootball


	Utah Royals		Racing Louisville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.2
	1.85	3.5	3.55	Watch
	1.92	3.7	3.62
	1.84	4.02	3.59	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.6
	1.8	3.56	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.76)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	3.56 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utah Royals
48.9%

Draw
25.5%

Racing Louisville
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

23.7%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utah Royals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Racing Louisville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utah Royals than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utah Royals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Louisville than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Utah Royals - Racing Louisville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGlynn M. (G) 7. Thomsen J. 18. Riehl K. 8. Del Fava K. 14. Rabano N. 17. Tejada Jimenez A. 10. Miura N. 4. Cronin P. 11. Tanaka M. 24. Lacasse C. 21. Palacios K.	24. Bloomer J. (G) 2. Milliet L. 3. Wright A. (C) 8. Petersen C. 12. McMahon Q. 26. Flint T. 20. O'Kane K. 10. Hodge M. 9. Fischer K. 6. Hase E. 13. Sears E.
Substitutes
16. Brown C. 5. Delzer C. 23. Justus M. (G) 2. Milazzo T. 22. Moriya M. 13. Mozingo B. 15. Pierre-Louis D. 9. Prasnikar L. 30. Spaanstra A.	23. Blackburn M. 19. Ciorbu A. 15. Gacioch M. 21. Hill R. 16. Lardner M. 88. McKeen A. 4. Morris M. 1. Prohaska M. (G) 11. White T.
Coaches
Coenraets J.	Yanez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Milliet L. (Own goal),
42', Cronin P. ↓, Spaanstra A. ↑,
45+4', Flint T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Hase E. ↓, Morris M. ↑,
68', Lacasse C. ↓, Delzer C. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Fischer K. ⚽,
69', Palacios K. ↓, Prasnikar L. ↑,
71', Hodge M. ↓, Lardner M. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Tanaka M. ⚽, Delzer C. (A),
83', McMahon Q. ↓, Blackburn M. ↑,
83', Milliet L. ↓, McKeen A. ↑,
87', Thomsen J. ↓, Milazzo T. ↑,
87', Rabano N. ↓, Moriya M. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

Utah has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Racing Louisville has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Utah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Utah is considered a favorite.

We predict that Utah will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Utah won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Utah won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Utah Royals W	27	14	4	9	44:35	9	46
15	Racing Louisville W	27	7	3	17	36:52	-16	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utah Royals
NWSL
10.05.26	Bay FC - Utah Royals	0:0 ✺
06.05.26	Utah Royals - Houston Dash	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Angel City - Utah Royals	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Seattle Reign - Utah Royals	0:3 ✺
03.04.26	Utah Royals - Chicago Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TWWWW
- Racing Louisville
NWSL
08.05.26	Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	NJ NY Gotham - Racing Louisville	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Washington Spirit - Racing Louisville	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Racing Louisville - Orlando Pride	3:2 ✺
03.04.26	Houston Dash - Racing Louisville	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
19.09.25	Utah Royals - Racing Louisville	3:2
06.06.25	Racing Louisville - Utah Royals	3:2
28.09.24	Utah Royals - Racing Louisville	1:0
20.04.24	Racing Louisville - Utah Royals	5:1

Utah Royals - Racing Louisville: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide