Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Racing Madrid		Las Rozas

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.55	1.7
	7.82	4.56	1.36	Watch
	4.8	3.75	1.57
	4.09	3.22	1.83
	4	3.2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (3.75)	3.66 ↑ (3.55)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Madrid
18.7%

Draw
25.4%

Las Rozas
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

25.7%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

24.2%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Madrid's form might have worsened.

Las Rozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Las Rozas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Madrid than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Las Rozas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Racing Madrid - Las Rozas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Calin E. ⚽,
43', Calin E. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
83', 0 - 2, Diaz Hervas J. ⚽,
90', 0 - 3, Nacho Rodriguez ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Las Rozas is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Las Rozas	5	3	1	1	11:6	5	10

Last Results with these Odds

Las Rozas - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.05%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Madrid
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.01.26	Racing Madrid - Unión Adarve	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Villaverde San Andrés - Racing Madrid	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Racing Madrid - Atlético Madrid C	2:6 ✺
14.12.25	Siello - Racing Madrid	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Racing Madrid - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWLTL
- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.01.26	Las Rozas - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Unión Adarve - Las Rozas	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Las Rozas - Villaverde San Andrés	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Atlético Madrid C - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Las Rozas - Siello	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLTW

Racing Madrid - Las Rozas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide